Every pick on this page comes from one statistical model, not from a tipster. It runs on every game the board lists — the NBA and WNBA, the EuroLeague and EuroCup, and the main leagues of Europe, the Americas and Asia (see predictions by league or by team) — and each pick is published before tip-off with the model’s own confidence figure beside it.
NBA predictions, game by game
The NBA leads the board. Every NBA game the model has a pick for is listed here before tip-off, in your own time zone, with its picks and the model’s confidence beside each one. Each game also has a page of its own: the picks in all three markets and the model’s predicted final score, then, open to everyone, both teams’ last five games, the head-to-head, the odds and the standings.
An NBA team gets a page of its own as soon as the model has a pick for one of its games: its next game with the picks, the schedule, results, record and form, and its place in the standings.
What a pick is built from
The model works from the numbers that decide a basketball game: projected pace, points scored and allowed, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds. From those it projects a final score for each side and compares its number with the market’s. Where the two disagree there is a pick; where they agree there is not, which is why some games carry three picks and some carry one.
Moneyline, spread and over/under
The moneyline pick is the winner. The spread pick is which side covers the bookmakers’ handicap. The over/under pick is whether the two teams together score more or fewer points than the posted total. Each market is called on its own, with its own confidence, so a game can be a moneyline pick and nothing else.
Best bets and the trust figure
The percentage next to a pick is the model’s confidence in it — its own number for the pick, set against the odds on offer — and the pick it rates highest in a game is that game’s best tip. When the figure reaches 86, the game is listed among the NBA best bets of the day. Confidence is a measure, never a promise: the record shows how each band has actually done, and the parlay builder carries the same figure into every combination it offers, averaged across the legs.
A record you can check
Every pick is published before the game starts and is not changed afterwards. When the game ends it is marked won or lost, for everyone to see, and the track record keeps every graded pick by market and by confidence band, thin days included. Every finished pick opens to everyone, and an account opens the rest of them, before the games start.
Fenerbahce6-3
Baskonia1-8
Hapoel Tel Aviv6-3
Barcelona6-3
Cairns Taipans6-5
Illawarra Hawks3-8
