Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total Margin Win
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Shooting
Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
Cairns Taipans at home, last 4 games · Illawarra Hawks away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Cairns Taipans 2, Illawarra Hawks 2.
- Average total 187.5 points per meeting
- Over 198.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CAI by 10 Oct 11, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 11, 2026 NBL Illawarra Hawks 100–110 Cairns Taipans 210 pts
- Jan 3, 2026 NBL Illawarra Hawks 96–78 Cairns Taipans 174 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 NBL Illawarra Hawks 76–93 Cairns Taipans 169 pts
- Nov 7, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 90–107 Illawarra Hawks 197 pts
Last five games
- Oct 31: Cairns Taipans 97, Melbourne United 113. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 3.00, Melbourne United 1.35.
- Oct 29: Brisbane Bullets 85, Cairns Taipans 107. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.83, Cairns Taipans 1.85.
- Oct 25: Cairns Taipans 86, New Zealand Breakers 84. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.97, New Zealand Breakers 1.77.
- Oct 17: South East Melbourne 115, Cairns Taipans 83. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.38, Cairns Taipans 2.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
- Oct 31: Perth 98, Illawarra Hawks 105. Won. Odds: Perth 1.27, Illawarra Hawks 3.55.
- Oct 24: Illawarra Hawks 81, Brisbane Bullets 98. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.62, Brisbane Bullets 2.10.
- Oct 22: Illawarra Hawks 82, Sydney 108. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 3.10, Sydney 1.30.
- Oct 18: Melbourne United 89, Illawarra Hawks 91. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.15, Illawarra Hawks 4.90.
- Oct 11: Illawarra Hawks 100, Cairns Taipans 110. Lost. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.74, Cairns Taipans 2.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 away for Illawarra Hawks this season.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 187.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 198.5.
- 4th vs 10th in the NBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CAI moneyline | 1.57 | moved up 1.60 |
| ILL moneyline | 2.20 | moved up 2.25 |
| Total points | 198.5 | 198.5 |
| CAI spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Cairns Taipans host Illawarra Hawks in the NBL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

