Ventspils vs Tal Tech Prediction & Odds

Latvia-Estonian League Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start11:30ET

VentspilsHome · 6-2 · 4th · 1.53

8217221726

Tal TechAway · 6-3 · 6th · 2.40

8517162824

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ventspils 17 22 17 26

Tal Tech 17 16 28 24

FT Olimpiskais centrs VentspilsOlimpiskais centrs Ventspils

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

TAL +9.5 1.42 80%

Tal Tech +9.5 on the spread edge −6.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won TAL +9.5 1.42 Tal Tech +9.5 on the spread Confidence80% model 65.3% · market 71.7% edge −6.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.53 58.6% 62.6% −4.0% 67% Lost

Total points U171.5 1.42 64.5% 64.7% −0.2% 76% Won

Point spread TAL +9.5 1.42 65.3% 71.7% −6.4% 80% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ventspils8284

Tal Tech8581

Total 165 actual 167

Winning margin VEN by 3 actual TAL by 3

Chance to win VEN 59% TAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ventspils8284

Tal Tech8581

Total 165 Margin VEN by 3 Win VEN 59% Actual 167 · TAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Ventspils large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Tal Tech

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Ventspils vs Tal Tech

Ventspils Tal Tech

Last 7 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Ventspils 4-1

Oct 11: Keila Coolbet 68, Ventspils 85. Won. Odds: Keila Coolbet 6.00, Ventspils 1.08.
Oct 10: BC Kalev/Cramo 73, Ventspils 86. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.46, Ventspils 2.59.
Oct 2: Ventspils 92, Tartu Ulikool 85. Won. Odds: Ventspils 2.50, Tartu Ulikool 1.45.
Sep 28: Latvijas Universitate 92, Ventspils 108. Won. Odds: Latvijas Universitate 6.32, Ventspils 1.09.
Sep 25: Valmiera Glass Via 98, Ventspils 76. Lost. Odds: Valmiera Glass Via 1.44, Ventspils 2.59.

Tal Tech 3-2

Oct 14: BK Liepaja 71, Tal Tech 78. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 2.58, Tal Tech 1.46.
Oct 10: Tal Tech 70, VEF Riga 90. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 5.15, VEF Riga 1.12.
Oct 7: Voluntari 80, Tal Tech 74. Lost. Odds: Voluntari 1.18, Tal Tech 4.10.
Oct 4: Viimsi 64, Tal Tech 85. Won. Odds: Viimsi 4.41, Tal Tech 1.19.
Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VEN moneyline	1.53	1.53
TAL moneyline	2.35	moved up 2.40
Total points	165.5	165.5
VEN spread	−3.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Latvia-Estonian League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	1.000	658	529	+129
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	.875	718	571	+147
3	Valmiera Glass Via	8	6	2	.750	716	606	+110
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	.750	696	649	+47
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	.714	576	518	+58
6	Tal Tech	9	6	3	.667	671	646	+25
7	BC Kalev	7	4	3	.571	589	569	+20
8	Parnu	6	3	3	.500	463	467	−4
9	Rigas Juniori	6	3	3	.500	505	530	−25
10	BK Ogre	7	3	4	.429	607	603	+4
11	Keila KK	8	3	5	.375	575	669	−94
12	BK Liepaja	7	2	5	.286	561	550	+11
13	Viimsi	9	1	8	.111	641	774	−133
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	.111	692	827	−135
15	Keila Coolbet	8	0	8	.000	568	728	−160

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ventspils host Tal Tech in the Latvia-Estonian League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.