VEF Riga vs Tartu Ulikool prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 178 Margin RIG by 10 Win RIG 78% Actual 160 · TAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
VEF Riga vs Tartu Ulikool
Last 14 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
VEF Riga at home, last 9 games · Tartu Ulikool away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: VEF Riga 1, Tartu Ulikool 1.
- Average total 158.0 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RIG by 9 Mar 10, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 10, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League VEF Riga 76–67 Tartu Ulikool 143 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League Tartu Ulikool 95–78 VEF Riga 173 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: VEF Riga 88, Mykonos 91. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 1.75, Mykonos 2.00.
- Oct 24: Valmiera Glass Via 89, VEF Riga 97. Won. Odds: Valmiera Glass Via 2.75, VEF Riga 1.30.
- Oct 21: CSM Oradea 92, VEF Riga 84. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.53, VEF Riga 1.98.
- Oct 17: VEF Riga 89, Parnu 72. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.03, Parnu 8.10.
- Oct 14: Neftchi IK 94, VEF Riga 110. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 5.59, VEF Riga 1.13.
- Oct 28: Tartu Ulikool 101, Iraklis 100. After overtime. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 3.70, Iraklis 1.25.
- Oct 24: Tartu Ulikool 65, Tal Tech 41. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 1.28, Tal Tech 2.95.
- Oct 21: AEK Larnaca 99, Tartu Ulikool 93. Lost. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.26, Tartu Ulikool 2.72.
- Oct 17: Keila KK 71, Tartu Ulikool 89. Won. Odds: Keila KK 8.20, Tartu Ulikool 1.05.
- Oct 14: MZT Skopje 92, Tartu Ulikool 95. Won. Odds: MZT Skopje 1.25, Tartu Ulikool 2.77.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 159.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.1 — VEF Riga +14.7 per 100 possessions, Tartu Ulikool +4.6.
- 4-1 in the last five for Tartu Ulikool.
- 2nd vs 5th in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RIG moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.12 |
| TAR moneyline | 4.25 | moved up 4.30 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| RIG spread | −9.5 | moved down −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
VEF Riga host Tartu Ulikool in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.