VEF Riga vs Parnu prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin RIG by 17 Win RIG 86% Actual 161 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
VEF Riga vs Parnu
Last 14 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
VEF Riga at home, last 9 games · Parnu away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: VEF Riga 2, Parnu 0.
- Average total 152.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RIG by 10 Feb 11, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 11, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Parnu 62–72 VEF Riga 134 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League VEF Riga 90–80 Parnu 170 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Neftchi IK 94, VEF Riga 110. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 5.59, VEF Riga 1.13.
- Oct 10: Tal Tech 70, VEF Riga 90. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 5.15, VEF Riga 1.12.
- Oct 7: VEF Riga 106, Lok. Plovdiv 83. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.07, Lok. Plovdiv 6.50.
- Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
- Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
- Oct 13: Parnu 61, Nancy 84. Lost. Odds: Parnu 7.01, Nancy 1.07.
- Oct 10: Parnu 70, Keila KK 75. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.08, Keila KK 6.05.
- Oct 7: Keravnos 88, Parnu 70. Lost. Odds: Keravnos 1.40, Parnu 2.65.
- Oct 3: BC Kalev/Cramo 79, Parnu 78. Lost. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.32, Parnu 3.13.
- Sep 30: Parnu 73, Neftchi IK 61. Won. Odds: Parnu 1.55, Neftchi IK 2.27.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for VEF Riga coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Parnu coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 17.5 — VEF Riga +14.7 per 100 possessions, Parnu −2.8.
- 2nd vs 8th in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RIG moneyline | 1.08 | moved down 1.03 |
| PAR moneyline | 6.50 | moved up 8.10 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| RIG spread | −16.5 | moved down −20.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
VEF Riga host Parnu in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.