VEF Riga vs Keila KK Prediction & Odds

Latvia-Estonian League Tuesday, September 29, 2026Tue, Sep 29 Start12:00ET

VEF RigaHome · 7-1 · 2nd

9033211719

Keila KKAway · 3-5 · 11th

6021101019

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

VEF Riga 33 21 17 19

Keila KK 21 10 10 19

FT Xiaomi ArenaXiaomi Arena

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 — 70%

VEF Riga to win edge −30.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 — VEF Riga to win Confidence70% model 60.0% · market 90.4% edge −30.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 — 60.0% 90.4% −30.4% 70% Won

Total points O173.5 1.84 55.7% 50.0% +5.7% 60% Lost

Point spread KEI +24.5 1.85 71.9% 50.0% +21.9% 71% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga9092

Keila KK6084

Total 176 actual 150

Winning margin RIG by 8 actual RIG by 30

Chance to win RIG 70% RIG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga9092

Keila KK6084

Total 176 Margin RIG by 8 Win RIG 70% Actual 150 · RIG won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

VEF Riga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Keila KK

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

VEF Riga vs Keila KK

VEF Riga Keila KK

Last 14 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

VEF Riga 4-1

Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
Sep 23: VEF Riga 104, Latvijas Universitate 66. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Latvijas Universitate 17.00.
Sep 17: VEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 2.14, Dziki Warszawa 1.68.
Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 7: VEF Riga 87, BC Kalev/Cramo 72. Won. No odds on record.

Keila KK 1-4

Mar 14: Keila KK 74, Valmiera Glass Via 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 11: Keila Coolbet 93, Keila KK 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Keila KK 119, Latvijas Universitate 115. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 3: Keila KK 73, BC Kalev/Cramo 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 22: Viimsi 95, Keila KK 73. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
KEI moneyline	17.00	moved up 21.00
Total points	173.5	173.5
RIG spread · regulation	−24.5	moved down −26.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Latvia-Estonian League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	1.000	658	529	+129
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	.875	718	571	+147
3	Valmiera Glass Via	8	6	2	.750	716	606	+110
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	.750	696	649	+47
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	.714	576	518	+58
6	Tal Tech	9	6	3	.667	671	646	+25
7	BC Kalev	7	4	3	.571	589	569	+20
8	Parnu	6	3	3	.500	463	467	−4
9	Rigas Juniori	6	3	3	.500	505	530	−25
10	BK Ogre	7	3	4	.429	607	603	+4
11	Keila KK	8	3	5	.375	575	669	−94
12	BK Liepaja	7	2	5	.286	561	550	+11
13	Viimsi	9	1	8	.111	641	774	−133
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	.111	692	827	−135
15	Keila Coolbet	8	0	8	.000	568	728	−160

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

VEF Riga host Keila KK in the Latvia-Estonian League on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.