VEF Riga vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Odds

Latvia-Estonian League Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start10:00ET

VEF RigaHome · 7-1 · 2nd · 1.04

8217282710

BK LiepajaAway · 2-5 · 12th · 9.56

5512201112

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

VEF Riga 17 28 27 10

BK Liepaja 12 20 11 12

FT Xiaomi ArenaXiaomi Arena

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.04 51%

VEF Riga to win edge −42.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.04 VEF Riga to win Confidence51% model 47.2% · market 89.5% edge −42.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.04 47.2% 89.5% −42.3% 51% Won

Total points O157.5 1.40 69.0% 65.6% +3.4% 83% Lost

Point spread LIE +23.5 1.33 73.3% 68.9% +4.4% 89% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga8288

BK Liepaja5584

Total 172 actual 137

Winning margin RIG by 4 actual RIG by 27

Chance to win RIG 57% RIG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

VEF Riga8288

BK Liepaja5584

Total 172 Margin RIG by 4 Win RIG 57% Actual 137 · RIG won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

VEF Riga large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction BK Liepaja

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

VEF Riga vs BK Liepaja

VEF Riga BK Liepaja

Last 14 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

VEF Riga 4-1

Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
Sep 23: VEF Riga 104, Latvijas Universitate 66. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Latvijas Universitate 17.00.
Sep 17: VEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 2.14, Dziki Warszawa 1.68.
Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Won. No odds on record.

BK Liepaja 1-4

Sep 30: BK Liepaja 83, Tartu Ulikool 87. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 4.33, Tartu Ulikool 1.19.
Sep 26: Parnu 76, BK Liepaja 73. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.57, BK Liepaja 2.29.
Sep 23: BK Liepaja 69, Tindastoll 92. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.76, Tindastoll 2.01.
Mar 14: BK Liepaja 74, VEF Riga 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 10: Latvijas Universitate 83, BK Liepaja 102. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
RIG moneyline	1.02	moved up 1.04
LIE moneyline	8.65	moved up 9.56
Total points	164.5	moved down 163.5
RIG spread	−16.5	moved down −18.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Latvia-Estonian League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	1.000	658	529	+129
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	.875	718	571	+147
3	Valmiera Glass Via	8	6	2	.750	716	606	+110
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	.750	696	649	+47
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	.714	576	518	+58
6	Tal Tech	9	6	3	.667	671	646	+25
7	BC Kalev	7	4	3	.571	589	569	+20
8	Parnu	6	3	3	.500	463	467	−4
9	Rigas Juniori	6	3	3	.500	505	530	−25
10	BK Ogre	7	3	4	.429	607	603	+4
11	Keila KK	8	3	5	.375	575	669	−94
12	BK Liepaja	7	2	5	.286	561	550	+11
13	Viimsi	9	1	8	.111	641	774	−133
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	.111	692	827	−135
15	Keila Coolbet	8	0	8	.000	568	728	−160

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

VEF Riga host BK Liepaja in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.