Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion Prediction & Odds

LNB Friday, October 9, 2026Fri, Oct 9 Start19:30ET

ValdiviaHome · 12-1 · 1st · 1.50

10128263017

U. De ConcepcionAway · 9-4 · 3rd · 2.38

8522132525

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Valdivia 28 26 30 17

U. De Concepcion 22 13 25 25

FT Coliseo Municipal Antonio Azurmendy Riveros · ChileColiseo Municipal Antonio Azurmendy Riveros

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.47 72%

Valdivia to win edge +19.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.47 Valdivia to win Confidence72% model 69.0% · market 49.3% edge +19.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 69.0% 49.3% +19.7% 72% Won

Total points O162.5 1.85 58.9% 49.0% +9.9% 56% Won

Point spread VAL -1.5 1.80 65.4% 50.0% +15.4% 79% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valdivia10187

U. De Concepcion8580

Total 167 actual 186

Winning margin VAL by 7 actual VAL by 16

Chance to win VAL 69% VAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Valdivia10187

U. De Concepcion8580

Total 167 Margin VAL by 7 Win VAL 69% Actual 186 · VAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 13+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Valdivia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction U. De Concepcion

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion

Valdivia U. De Concepcion

Last 21 and 19 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Valdivia 4-1

Oct 1: Puente Alto 77, Valdivia 85. Won. Odds: Puente Alto 3.50, Valdivia 1.24.
Sep 30: Leones Quilpue 78, Valdivia 65. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.55, Valdivia 2.25.
Sep 27: Valdivia 86, Puente Alto 62. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.12, Puente Alto 5.00.
Sep 26: Valdivia 92, Leones Quilpue 77. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.62, Leones Quilpue 2.12.
Sep 14: Valdivia 89, Ancud 76. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.04, Ancud 6.90.

U. De Concepcion 5-0

Oct 7: U. De Concepcion 74, Espanol Osorno 68. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.03, Espanol Osorno 8.25.
Oct 3: CD Puerto Varas 91, U. De Concepcion 98. Won. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 4.55, U. De Concepcion 1.12.
Oct 2: Puerto Montt 87, U. De Concepcion 92. Won. Odds: Puerto Montt 4.00, U. De Concepcion 1.19.
Sep 27: U. De Concepcion 87, Puerto Montt 59. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.10, Puerto Montt 5.00.
Sep 23: U. De Concepcion 96, CD Puerto Varas 76. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion –, CD Puerto Varas 10.00.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
VAL moneyline	1.85	moved down 1.50
UDC moneyline	1.80	moved up 2.38
Total points	162.5	moved down 157.5
VAL spread	−1.5	moved down −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNB standings

Clausura - Winners

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Valdivia	13	12	1	25	1150	973	+177
2	Leones Quilpue	13	11	2	24	1080	942	+138
3	U. De Concepcion	13	9	4	22	1131	1057	+74
4	Puente Alto	14	6	8	20	1093	1163	−70
5	Puerto Montt	13	6	7	19	1011	1039	−28
6	Ancud	14	4	10	18	1102	1163	−61
7	Espanol Osorno	13	3	10	16	938	1017	−79
8	CD Puerto Varas	13	2	11	15	973	1124	−151
9	Catolica	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
9	Espanol de Talca	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
10	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	—	—	0

Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Valdivia host U. De Concepcion in the LNB on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.