U. De Concepcion vs Leones Quilpue prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Win UDC 52% Actual 153 · UDC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
U. De Concepcion vs Leones Quilpue
Last 19 and 21 games with full stats · all competitions
U. De Concepcion at home, last 12 games · Leones Quilpue away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: U. De Concepcion 2, Leones Quilpue 3.
- Average total 159.2 points per meeting
- Over 167.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEO by 7 Sep 15, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 15, 2026 LNB Leones Quilpue 79–72 U. De Concepcion 151 pts
- Aug 12, 2026 LNB U. De Concepcion 97–76 Leones Quilpue 173 pts
- Aug 3, 2026 LNB Leones Quilpue 86–74 U. De Concepcion 160 pts
- Jun 9, 2026 LNB U. De Concepcion 78–79 Leones Quilpue 157 pts
- Jun 7, 2026 LNB Leones Quilpue 74–81 U. De Concepcion 155 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: U. De Concepcion 95, Ancud 78. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.05, Ancud 5.90.
- Oct 15: Ancud 91, U. De Concepcion 73. Lost. Odds: Ancud 3.10, U. De Concepcion 1.30.
- Oct 14: Espanol Osorno 89, U. De Concepcion 75. Lost. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.90, U. De Concepcion 1.36.
- Oct 9: Valdivia 101, U. De Concepcion 85. Lost. Odds: Valdivia 1.50, U. De Concepcion 2.38.
- Oct 7: U. De Concepcion 74, Espanol Osorno 68. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.03, Espanol Osorno 8.25.
- Oct 23: Leones Quilpue 90, Puente Alto 66. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.03, Puente Alto 6.60.
- Oct 10: Leones Quilpue 75, Puerto Montt 54. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.09, Puerto Montt 5.70.
- Oct 8: Leones Quilpue 98, CD Puerto Varas 84. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.04, CD Puerto Varas 8.30.
- Oct 7: Leones Quilpue 85, Ancud 75. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.06, Ancud 7.00.
- Oct 1: Leones Quilpue 81, Espanol Osorno 61. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.09, Espanol Osorno 5.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Leones Quilpue, who played yesterday.
- 7-game winning streak for Leones Quilpue coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Leones Quilpue dropped from 2.67 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- 20-2 at home for U. De Concepcion this season.
- Over/under moved up from 165.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UDC moneyline | 1.38 | moved up 2.05 |
| LEO moneyline | 2.67 | moved down 1.60 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| UDC spread | +1.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Clausura - Winners
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 25 | 1150 | 973 | +177 | |
| 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 1080 | 942 | +138 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 1131 | 1057 | +74 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 1093 | 1163 | −70 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1011 | 1039 | −28 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 1102 | 1163 | −61 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 938 | 1017 | −79 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 973 | 1124 | −151 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
U. De Concepcion host Leones Quilpue in the LNB on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.