U. De Concepcion vs Espanol Osorno prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin UDC by 9 Win UDC 73% Actual 142 · UDC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
U. De Concepcion vs Espanol Osorno
Last 19 and 21 games with full stats · all competitions
U. De Concepcion at home, last 12 games · Espanol Osorno away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: U. De Concepcion 2, Espanol Osorno 3.
- Average total 155.6 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ESP by 14 Oct 14, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 14, 2026 LNB Espanol Osorno 89–75 U. De Concepcion 164 pts
- Nov 18, 2025 LNB Espanol Osorno 93–78 U. De Concepcion 171 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 LNB U. De Concepcion 91–70 Espanol Osorno 161 pts
- Nov 14, 2025 LNB U. De Concepcion 75–57 Espanol Osorno 132 pts
- Nov 11, 2025 LNB Espanol Osorno 79–71 U. De Concepcion 150 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: CD Puerto Varas 91, U. De Concepcion 98. Won. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 4.55, U. De Concepcion 1.12.
- Oct 2: Puerto Montt 87, U. De Concepcion 92. Won. Odds: Puerto Montt 4.00, U. De Concepcion 1.19.
- Sep 27: U. De Concepcion 87, Puerto Montt 59. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.10, Puerto Montt 5.00.
- Sep 23: U. De Concepcion 96, CD Puerto Varas 76. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion –, CD Puerto Varas 10.00.
- Sep 15: Leones Quilpue 79, U. De Concepcion 72. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, U. De Concepcion 3.25.
- Oct 1: Leones Quilpue 81, Espanol Osorno 61. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.09, Espanol Osorno 5.75.
- Sep 30: Puente Alto 80, Espanol Osorno 73. Lost. Odds: Puente Alto 1.98, Espanol Osorno 1.72.
- Sep 27: Espanol Osorno 67, Leones Quilpue 89. Lost. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.70, Leones Quilpue 1.39.
- Sep 26: Espanol Osorno 89, Puente Alto 69. Won. Odds: Espanol Osorno 1.42, Puente Alto 2.57.
- Sep 16: Ancud 74, Espanol Osorno 65. Lost. Odds: Ancud 1.84, Espanol Osorno 1.82.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for U. De Concepcion coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Espanol Osorno coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on U. De Concepcion dropped from 1.12 to 1.03 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Espanol Osorno, 3 for U. De Concepcion.
- 20-2 at home for U. De Concepcion this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| UDC moneyline | 1.12 | moved down 1.03 |
| ESP moneyline | 4.80 | moved up 8.25 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| UDC spread | −12.5 | moved down −18.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Clausura - Winners
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 25 | 1150 | 973 | +177 | |
| 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 1080 | 942 | +138 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 1131 | 1057 | +74 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 1093 | 1163 | −70 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1011 | 1039 | −28 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 1102 | 1163 | −61 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 938 | 1017 | −79 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 973 | 1124 | −151 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
U. De Concepcion host Espanol Osorno in the LNB on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.