The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Troy
UMassTroyUMassTotal Margin Win
Troy vs UMass
Troy
UMass
Last five games
Troy
4-1 - Mar 19: Nebraska 76, Troy 47. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 9: Troy 77, Georgia Southern 61. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 8: Troy 78, Southern Miss 70. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 27: Troy 80, Louisiana Monroe 65. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 24: Troy 78, Louisiana Lafayette 59. Won. No odds on record.
UMass
2-3 - Mar 13: Toledo 77, UMass 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Miami (Ohio) 83, UMass 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 3: UMass 94, Ohio 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 28: Bowling Green 81, UMass 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 24: Ball State 74, UMass 73. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last five for Troy.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TRO moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.55 |
| UMA moneyline | 2.25 | moved down 2.20 |
| Total points | 153.5 | moved up 154.5 |
| TRO spread | −2.5 | −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NCAA standings
Regular Season · Sun Belt
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Appalachian State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Arkansas State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Coastal Carolina |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Georgia Southern |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Georgia State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Louisiana Monroe |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Louisiana Tech |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  Marshall |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Old Dominion |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  South Alabama |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  Southern Miss |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 | Troy |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 13 |  Louisiana Lafayette |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 14 |  James Madison |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Regular Season · Mid-American
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Akron |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Ball State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Buffalo |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Central Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Eastern Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Kent State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 | UMass |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Miami (Ohio) |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  Ohio |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  Toledo |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 |  Western Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Troy host UMass in the NCAA on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.