Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin RIG by 1 Win RIG 52% Actual 168 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Tartu Ulikool at home, last 5 games · Rigas Zelli away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tartu Ulikool 2, Rigas Zelli 0.
- Average total 158.5 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAR by 3 Feb 14, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 14, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Tartu Ulikool 83–80 Rigas Zelli 163 pts
- Dec 27, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League Rigas Zelli 76–78 Tartu Ulikool 154 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Tartu Ulikool 76, Dziki Warszawa 103. Lost. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 4.24, Dziki Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 2: Ventspils 92, Tartu Ulikool 85. Lost. Odds: Ventspils 2.50, Tartu Ulikool 1.45.
- Sep 30: BK Liepaja 83, Tartu Ulikool 87. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 4.33, Tartu Ulikool 1.19.
- Sep 24: Tartu Ulikool 90, BC Kalev/Cramo 63. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 1.79, BC Kalev/Cramo 1.97.
- Apr 8: Tartu Ulikool 95, Valmiera Glass Via 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Rostock 87, Rigas Zelli 86. Lost. Odds: Rostock 1.30, Rigas Zelli 3.30.
- Oct 3: Rigas Zelli 107, BK Ogre 85. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 1.08, BK Ogre 6.65.
- Sep 30: Rigas Zelli 86, Tortona 84. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 4.04, Tortona 1.22.
- Sep 26: Tal Tech 73, Rigas Zelli 79. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 4.20, Rigas Zelli 1.20.
- Sep 25: Keila Coolbet 71, Rigas Zelli 94. Won. Odds: Keila Coolbet 10.00, Rigas Zelli 1.02.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Rigas Zelli dropped from 1.55 to 1.34 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 161.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Rigas Zelli.
- 5th vs 1st in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAR moneyline | 2.32 | moved up 3.00 |
| RIG moneyline | 1.55 | moved down 1.34 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| TAR spread | +3.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tartu Ulikool host Rigas Zelli in the Latvia-Estonian League on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.