Tal Tech vs VEF Riga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin RIG by 6 Win RIG 65% Actual 160 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Tal Tech vs VEF Riga
Last 12 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Tal Tech at home, last 6 games · VEF Riga away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tal Tech 0, VEF Riga 2.
- Average total 173.5 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RIG by 27 Feb 7, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 7, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Tal Tech 75–102 VEF Riga 177 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League VEF Riga 98–72 Tal Tech 170 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Voluntari 80, Tal Tech 74. Lost. Odds: Voluntari 1.18, Tal Tech 4.10.
- Oct 4: Viimsi 64, Tal Tech 85. Won. Odds: Viimsi 4.41, Tal Tech 1.19.
- Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.
- Sep 26: Tal Tech 73, Rigas Zelli 79. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 4.20, Rigas Zelli 1.20.
- Sep 23: Tal Tech 95, Fyllingen 94. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 1.20, Fyllingen 3.90.
- Oct 7: VEF Riga 106, Lok. Plovdiv 83. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.07, Lok. Plovdiv 6.50.
- Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
- Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
- Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
- Sep 23: VEF Riga 104, Latvijas Universitate 66. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Latvijas Universitate 17.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for VEF Riga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on VEF Riga dropped from 1.22 to 1.12 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.6 — Tal Tech +4.1 per 100 possessions, VEF Riga +14.7.
- 6th vs 2nd in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAL moneyline | 4.00 | moved up 5.15 |
| RIG moneyline | 1.22 | moved down 1.12 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| TAL spread | +8.5 | moved up +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tal Tech host VEF Riga in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.