Tajfun Sentjur vs Sencur prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 156 Margin TAJ by 8 Win TAJ 67% Actual 173 · SEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Tajfun Sentjur vs Sencur
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tajfun Sentjur 0, Sencur 3.
- Average total 160.3 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SEN by 6 Apr 28, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 28, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Tajfun Sentjur 68–74 Sencur 142 pts
- Feb 9, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Tajfun Sentjur 82–100 Sencur 182 pts
- Nov 15, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Sencur 98–59 Tajfun Sentjur 157 pts
Last five games
- Sep 22: KK Krka Novo mesto 87, Tajfun Sentjur 55. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.02, Tajfun Sentjur 9.00.
- May 3: KK Triglav Kranj 82, Tajfun Sentjur 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Tajfun Sentjur 68, Sencur 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Helios Domzale 80, Tajfun Sentjur 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Tajfun Sentjur 60, KK Krka Novo mesto 103. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Won. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
- May 23: Cedevita Olimpija 94, Sencur 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Sencur 79, Cedevita Olimpija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Tajfun Sentjur coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Sencur.
- Net rating difference of 35.6 — Tajfun Sentjur −28.2 per 100 possessions, Sencur +7.4.
- 160.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 156.5.
- 10th vs 4th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAJ moneyline | 3.00 | moved down 2.92 |
| SEN moneyline | 1.34 | moved up 1.36 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| TAJ spread | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tajfun Sentjur host Sencur in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.