Tajfun Sentjur vs Polzela prediction
Tajfun Sentjur
21
16
16
14
Polzela
21
13
24
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Tajfun Sentjur6776Polzela8483Tajfun Sentjur6776Polzela8483Total 159 Margin POL by 7 Win POL 67% Actual 151 · POL won
Tajfun Sentjur
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Polzela
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Tajfun Sentjur vs Polzela
Tajfun Sentjur
Polzela
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Tajfun Sentjur 1, Polzela 2.
- Average total 163.7 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting POL by 7 Mar 14, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 14, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 83–76 Tajfun Sentjur 159 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Tajfun Sentjur 93–80 Polzela 173 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 89–70 Tajfun Sentjur 159 pts
Last five games
Tajfun Sentjur
1-4 - Oct 11: Zlatorog Lasko 86, Tajfun Sentjur 73. Lost. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 1.42, Tajfun Sentjur 2.67.
- Oct 6: Vrani Vransko 71, Tajfun Sentjur 116. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Tajfun Sentjur 74, Sencur 99. Lost. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.92, Sencur 1.36.
- Sep 22: KK Krka Novo mesto 87, Tajfun Sentjur 55. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.02, Tajfun Sentjur 9.00.
- May 3: KK Triglav Kranj 82, Tajfun Sentjur 58. Lost. No odds on record.
Polzela
3-2 - Oct 9: Sencur 96, Polzela 81. Lost. Odds: Sencur 1.38, Polzela 2.80.
- Oct 6: Maribor 59, Polzela 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Won. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
- Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Won. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 10: Polzela 80, KK Krka Novo mesto 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Polzela, 5 for Tajfun Sentjur.
- Over/under moved up from 155.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 45.3 — Tajfun Sentjur −28.2 per 100 possessions, Polzela +17.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Polzela.
- 1-4 in the last five for Tajfun Sentjur.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| TAJ moneyline | 2.40 | moved up 2.47 |
| POL moneyline | 1.35 | moved down 1.32 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| TAJ spread | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 | Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 |  Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 |  Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 | Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Tajfun Sentjur host Polzela in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.