Spartak Pleven vs AEL prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin SPA by 8 Win SPA 67% Actual 140 · AEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Spartak Pleven vs AEL
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 30: Fyllingen 54, Spartak Pleven 79. Won. Odds: Fyllingen 2.07, Spartak Pleven 1.71.
- May 4: Cherno More 94, Spartak Pleven 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Spartak Pleven 86, Cherno More 74. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: Cherno More 88, Spartak Pleven 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Rilski Sportist 109, Spartak Pleven 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Keravnos 92, AEL 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: AEL 87, Keravnos 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Keravnos 86, AEL 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: AEL 81, Keravnos 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Keravnos 80, AEL 87. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on AEL dropped from 2.85 to 2.24 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 159.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.2 — Spartak Pleven +9.9 per 100 possessions, AEL +16.1.
- 1st vs 5th in the ENBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SPA moneyline | 1.36 | moved up 1.60 |
| AEL moneyline | 2.85 | moved down 2.24 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved down 156.5 |
| SPA spread | −6.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ENBL standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 310 | 289 | +21 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 252 | 244 | +8 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 238 | 250 | −12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 281 | 321 | −40 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 155 | 119 | +36 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 241 | 251 | −10 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 183 | 168 | +15 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 174 | 180 | −6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 232 | 244 | −12 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Spartak Pleven host AEL in the ENBL on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.