Sencur vs Polzela prediction
Sencur
29
22
20
25
Polzela
25
20
14
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Sencur9688Polzela8177Sencur9688Polzela8177Total 165 Margin SEN by 11 Win SEN 72% Actual 177 · SEN won
Sencur
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Polzela
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Sencur vs Polzela
Sencur
Polzela
Last 6 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Sencur 3, Polzela 0.
- Average total 176.3 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SEN by 5 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Sencur 103–98 Polzela 201 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 81–85 Sencur 166 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Sencur 97–65 Polzela 162 pts
Last five games
Sencur
3-2 - Oct 3: Tajfun Sentjur 74, Sencur 99. Won. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.92, Sencur 1.36.
- Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Won. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
- May 23: Cedevita Olimpija 94, Sencur 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Sencur 79, Cedevita Olimpija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Won. No odds on record.
Polzela
3-2 - Oct 6: Maribor 59, Polzela 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Won. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
- Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Won. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 10: Polzela 80, KK Krka Novo mesto 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: KK Krka Novo mesto 94, Polzela 58. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Polzela coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Sencur, 2 for Polzela.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Sencur.
- Net rating difference of 9.7 — Sencur +7.4 per 100 possessions, Polzela +17.1.
- 176.3 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SEN moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.38 |
| POL moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.80 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| SEN spread | −6.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 | Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 | Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 |  Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Sencur host Polzela in the Liga Nova KBM on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.