Rogaska vs Sencur prediction
Rogaska
20
29
24
2
Sencur
27
26
21
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Rogaska7584Sencur9283Rogaska7584Sencur9283Total 167 Margin ROG by 1 Win ROG 51% Actual 167 · SEN won
Rogaska
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Sencur
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Rogaska vs Sencur
Rogaska
Sencur
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rogaska 0, Sencur 3.
- Average total 150.0 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 3 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting SEN by 1 Mar 9, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 9, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Sencur 79–78 Rogaska 157 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Sencur 82–61 Rogaska 143 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 62–88 Sencur 150 pts
Last five games
Rogaska
3-2 - May 4: Zlatorog Lasko 80, Rogaska 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Rogaska 97, Helios Domzale 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: KK Krka Novo mesto 92, Rogaska 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Rogaska 96, KK Triglav Kranj 94. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 13: Rogaska 106, Terme Olimia Podčetrtek 73. Won. No odds on record.
Sencur
3-2 - May 23: Cedevita Olimpija 94, Sencur 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Sencur 79, Cedevita Olimpija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Won. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Won. No odds on record.
- May 4: Helios Domzale 70, Sencur 76. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Sencur.
- Net rating difference of 27.3 — Rogaska −19.9 per 100 possessions, Sencur +7.4.
- 150.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 163.5.
- 7th vs 4th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
- Different pace — Rogaska averaged 69.4 possessions per game, Sencur 76.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROG moneyline | 1.83 | moved up 1.85 |
| SEN moneyline | 1.87 | moved down 1.85 |
| Total points · regulation | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| ROG spread · regulation | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 |  Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 | Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 | Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rogaska host Sencur in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.