Rogaska vs KK Krka Novo mesto prediction
Rogaska
14
24
16
8
KK Krka Novo mesto
27
16
26
28
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Rogaska6274KK Krka Novo mesto9779Rogaska6274KK Krka Novo mesto9779Total 153 Margin KKN by 5 Win KKN 63% Actual 159 · KKN won
Rogaska vs KK Krka Novo mesto
Rogaska
KK Krka Novo mesto
Last 6 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rogaska 0, KK Krka Novo mesto 5.
- Average total 163.6 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KKN by 17 Apr 21, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 21, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 92–75 Rogaska 167 pts
- Jan 20, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 98–74 Rogaska 172 pts
- Jan 6, 2026 Slovenian Cup KK Krka Novo mesto 97–69 Rogaska 166 pts
- Dec 30, 2025 Slovenian Cup Rogaska 53–89 KK Krka Novo mesto 142 pts
- Nov 3, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 80–91 KK Krka Novo mesto 171 pts
Last five games
Rogaska
2-3 - Oct 16: KK Triglav Kranj 72, Rogaska 74. Won. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 1.15, Rogaska 3.45.
- Oct 10: Rogaska 67, Gorica 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Celje 59, Rogaska 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Lost. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
- Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Lost. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
KK Krka Novo mesto
2-3 - Oct 18: KK Krka Novo mesto 78, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 97. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 5.10, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.08.
- Oct 14: KK Krka Novo mesto 92, Helios Domzale 68. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.01, Helios Domzale 11.50.
- Oct 11: KK Krka Novo mesto 68, FMP Beograd 79. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.94, FMP Beograd 1.82.
- Oct 7: Perspektiva Ilirija 82, KK Krka Novo mesto 83. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.87, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.80.
- Oct 2: KK Krka Novo mesto 72, Buducnost 77. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 3.40, Buducnost 1.26.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Rogaska dropped from 7.90 to 5.00 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Rogaska, 1 for KK Krka Novo mesto.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for KK Krka Novo mesto.
- Net rating difference of 28.5 — Rogaska −19.9 per 100 possessions, KK Krka Novo mesto +8.6.
- 163.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 155.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ROG moneyline | 7.90 | moved down 5.00 |
| KKN moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.04 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 155.5 |
| ROG spread | +16.5 | +16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 |  Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 |  Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 | Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rogaska host KK Krka Novo mesto in the Liga Nova KBM on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.