Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin RIG by 12 Win RIG 77% Actual 154 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja
Last 12 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Rigas Zelli at home, last 5 games · BK Liepaja away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Rigas Zelli 2, BK Liepaja 0.
- Average total 168.0 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RIG by 2 Dec 12, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 12, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BK Liepaja 77–79 Rigas Zelli 156 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League Rigas Zelli 109–71 BK Liepaja 180 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Rigas Zelli 89, Cedevita Olimpija 79. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 2.31, Cedevita Olimpija 1.58.
- Oct 9: Tartu Ulikool 74, Rigas Zelli 94. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 3.00, Rigas Zelli 1.34.
- Oct 6: Rostock 87, Rigas Zelli 86. Lost. Odds: Rostock 1.30, Rigas Zelli 3.30.
- Oct 3: Rigas Zelli 107, BK Ogre 85. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 1.08, BK Ogre 6.65.
- Sep 30: Rigas Zelli 86, Tortona 84. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 4.04, Tortona 1.22.
- Oct 14: BK Liepaja 71, Tal Tech 78. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 2.58, Tal Tech 1.46.
- Oct 11: BK Liepaja 98, Rigas Juniori 88. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.06, Rigas Juniori 7.57.
- Oct 6: BK Liepaja 81, Lausanne Basket 74. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.77, Lausanne Basket 1.98.
- Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
- Sep 30: BK Liepaja 83, Tartu Ulikool 87. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 4.33, Tartu Ulikool 1.19.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 13.8 — Rigas Zelli +10.5 per 100 possessions, BK Liepaja −3.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Rigas Zelli.
- 1st vs 12th in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| RIG moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.02 |
| LIE moneyline | 8.00 | moved up 8.55 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| RIG spread | −17.5 | moved down −20.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Rigas Zelli host BK Liepaja in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.