Puerto Montt vs U. De Concepcion Prediction & Odds

LNB Friday, October 2, 2026Fri, Oct 2 Start19:00ET

Puerto MonttHome · 6-7 · 5th · 4.00

8722221528

U. De ConcepcionAway · 9-4 · 3rd · 1.19

9219183223

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Puerto Montt 22 22 15 28

U. De Concepcion 19 18 32 23

FT Gimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt · ChileGimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 4.00 52%

Puerto Montt to win edge +34.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 4.00 Puerto Montt to win Confidence52% model 54.9% · market 20.7% edge +34.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 4.00 54.9% 20.7% +34.2% 52% Lost

Total points O161.5 1.70 57.1% 54.3% +2.8% 55% Won

Point spread PUE +10.5 1.82 73.8% 50.4% +23.4% 70% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Puerto Montt8786

U. De Concepcion9279

Total 165 actual 179

Winning margin PUE by 7 actual UDC by 5

Chance to win PUE 70% UDC won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Puerto Montt8786

U. De Concepcion9279

Total 165 Margin PUE by 7 Win PUE 70% Actual 179 · UDC won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 10+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Puerto Montt large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction U. De Concepcion

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Puerto Montt vs U. De Concepcion

Puerto Montt U. De Concepcion

Last 22 and 19 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Puerto Montt 4-1

Sep 27: U. De Concepcion 87, Puerto Montt 59. Lost. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.10, Puerto Montt 5.00.
Sep 24: Ancud 83, Puerto Montt 94. Won. Odds: Ancud 1.17, Puerto Montt 4.20.
Sep 16: Puerto Montt 82, CD Puerto Varas 78. Won. Odds: Puerto Montt 1.40, CD Puerto Varas 2.65.
Sep 14: CD Puerto Varas 68, Puerto Montt 81. Won. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 1.40, Puerto Montt 2.60.
Sep 5: Colo Colo 84, Puerto Montt 86. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

U. De Concepcion 4-1

Sep 27: U. De Concepcion 87, Puerto Montt 59. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.10, Puerto Montt 5.00.
Sep 23: U. De Concepcion 96, CD Puerto Varas 76. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion –, CD Puerto Varas 10.00.
Sep 15: Leones Quilpue 79, U. De Concepcion 72. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, U. De Concepcion 3.25.
Sep 14: Puente Alto 96, U. De Concepcion 97. After overtime. Won. Odds: Puente Alto 4.35, U. De Concepcion 1.16.
Aug 14: Espanol de Talca 80, U. De Concepcion 103. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PUE moneyline	4.50	moved down 4.00
UDC moneyline	1.16	moved up 1.19
Total points	163.5	163.5
PUE spread	+10.5	moved down +6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNB standings

Clausura - Winners

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Valdivia	13	12	1	25	1150	973	+177
2	Leones Quilpue	13	11	2	24	1080	942	+138
3	U. De Concepcion	13	9	4	22	1131	1057	+74
4	Puente Alto	14	6	8	20	1093	1163	−70
5	Puerto Montt	13	6	7	19	1011	1039	−28
6	Ancud	14	4	10	18	1102	1163	−61
7	Espanol Osorno	13	3	10	16	938	1017	−79
8	CD Puerto Varas	13	2	11	15	973	1124	−151
9	Catolica	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
9	Espanol de Talca	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
10	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	—	—	0

Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Puerto Montt host U. De Concepcion in the LNB on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.