Polzela vs Rogaska prediction
Polzela
25
23
22
17
Rogaska
13
4
19
13
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Polzela8786Rogaska4984Polzela8786Rogaska4984Total 170 Margin POL by 2 Win POL 53% Actual 136 · POL won
Polzela
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Rogaska
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Polzela vs Rogaska
Polzela
Rogaska
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Polzela 2, Rogaska 1.
- Average total 182.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting POL by 5 Apr 6, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 6, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 99–94 OT Rogaska 193 pts · OT
- Dec 22, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 88–81 Rogaska 169 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 95–89 Polzela 184 pts
Last five games
Polzela
2-3 - Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Won. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 10: Polzela 80, KK Krka Novo mesto 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: KK Krka Novo mesto 94, Polzela 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Polzela 96, Terme Olimia Podčetrtek 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Perspektiva Ilirija 103, Polzela 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Rogaska
2-3 - Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Lost. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
- May 4: Zlatorog Lasko 80, Rogaska 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Rogaska 97, Helios Domzale 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: KK Krka Novo mesto 92, Rogaska 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Rogaska 96, KK Triglav Kranj 94. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 37.0 — Polzela +17.1 per 100 possessions, Rogaska −19.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Polzela.
- 182.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 159.5.
- 3rd vs 7th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POL moneyline | 1.33 | moved up 1.35 |
| ROG moneyline | 3.05 | moved down 2.92 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| POL spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 | Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 |  Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 | Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Polzela host Rogaska in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.