Polzela vs Gorica prediction
Polzela
25
13
21
15
Gorica
10
24
17
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Polzela7484Gorica6773Polzela7484Gorica6773Total 157 Margin POL by 11 Win POL 76% Actual 141 · POL won
Polzela vs Gorica
Polzela
Gorica
Last 5 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Polzela
4-1 - Oct 20: Polzela 70, Branik Maribor 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 17: Tajfun Sentjur 67, Polzela 84. Won. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.47, Polzela 1.32.
- Oct 9: Sencur 96, Polzela 81. Lost. Odds: Sencur 1.38, Polzela 2.80.
- Oct 6: Maribor 59, Polzela 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Won. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
Gorica
3-2 - Oct 20: Gorica 85, LTH Castings 58. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 18: Gorica 95, Jazine 104. Lost. Odds: Gorica 1.55, Jazine 2.43.
- Oct 17: Gorica 70, Sencur 76. Lost. Odds: Gorica 2.45, Sencur 1.33.
- Oct 13: Crnomelj 53, Gorica 106. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Rogaska 67, Gorica 80. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 152.5 to 154.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 19.5 — Polzela +17.1 per 100 possessions, Gorica −2.4.
- 4-1 in the last five for Polzela.
- 3rd vs 5th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
- Different pace — Polzela averaged 70.3 possessions per game, Gorica 77.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POL moneyline | 1.20 | moved down 1.18 |
| GOR moneyline | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Total points | 152.5 | moved up 154.5 |
| POL spread | −7.5 | moved down −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 | Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 |  Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 | Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 |  Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Polzela host Gorica in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.