Perspektiva Ilirija vs KK Krka Novo mesto prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin PER by 3 Win PER 55% Actual 165 · KKN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Perspektiva Ilirija vs KK Krka Novo mesto
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Perspektiva Ilirija at home, last 7 games · KK Krka Novo mesto away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Perspektiva Ilirija 1, KK Krka Novo mesto 4.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KKN by 23 May 23, 2026
Meetings
- May 23, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 97–74 Perspektiva Ilirija 171 pts
- May 21, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Perspektiva Ilirija 105–89 KK Krka Novo mesto 194 pts
- May 18, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 94–80 Perspektiva Ilirija 174 pts
- May 3, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 83–68 Perspektiva Ilirija 151 pts
- Mar 29, 2026 ABA League Perspektiva Ilirija 77–83 KK Krka Novo mesto 160 pts
Last five games
- Oct 4: Perspektiva Ilirija 70, Dubai 85. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 6.63, Dubai 1.09.
- Sep 30: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Perspektiva Ilirija 89. Won. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 2.65, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.42.
- Sep 23: Perspektiva Ilirija 86, Gorica 59. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.02, Gorica 10.25.
- May 23: KK Krka Novo mesto 97, Perspektiva Ilirija 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Perspektiva Ilirija 105, KK Krka Novo mesto 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 2: KK Krka Novo mesto 72, Buducnost 77. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 3.40, Buducnost 1.26.
- Sep 29: KK Krka Novo mesto 77, Zlatorog Lasko 61. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto –, Zlatorog Lasko 15.00.
- Sep 22: KK Krka Novo mesto 87, Tajfun Sentjur 55. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.02, Tajfun Sentjur 9.00.
- Sep 17: Cedevita Olimpija 67, KK Krka Novo mesto 71. Won. Odds: Cedevita Olimpija 1.30, KK Krka Novo mesto 2.94.
- Jun 1: KK Krka Novo mesto 71, Cedevita Olimpija 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on KK Krka Novo mesto dropped from 2.05 to 1.80 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for KK Krka Novo mesto, 2 for Perspektiva Ilirija.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for KK Krka Novo mesto.
- 170.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 155.5.
- 2nd vs 1st in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| PER moneyline | 1.68 | moved up 1.87 |
| KKN moneyline | 2.05 | moved down 1.80 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved down 155.5 |
| PER spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Perspektiva Ilirija host KK Krka Novo mesto in the Liga Nova KBM on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.