Parnu vs Keila KK Prediction & Odds

Latvia-Estonian League Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start10:00ET

ParnuHome · 3-3 · 8th · 1.08

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Keila KKAway · 3-5 · 11th · 6.05

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By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Parnu 24 12 11 23

Keila KK 21 19 20 15

FT Parnu SpordihallParnu Spordihall

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

PAR -5.5 1.29 66%

Parnu −5.5 on the spread edge −4.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost PAR -5.5 1.29 Parnu −5.5 on the spread Confidence66% model 66.1% · market 70.8% edge −4.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.10 76.6% 81.4% −4.8% 76% Lost

Total points U172.5 1.40 78.3% 66.3% +12.0% 78% Won

Point spread PAR -5.5 1.29 66.1% 70.8% −4.7% 66% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7085

Keila KK7573

Total 158 actual 145

Winning margin PAR by 12 actual KEI by 5

Chance to win PAR 77% KEI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7085

Keila KK7573

Total 158 Margin PAR by 12 Win PAR 77% Actual 145 · KEI won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Parnu large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Keila KK

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Parnu vs Keila KK

Parnu Keila KK

Last 12 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Parnu 2-3

Oct 7: Keravnos 88, Parnu 70. Lost. Odds: Keravnos 1.40, Parnu 2.65.
Oct 3: BC Kalev/Cramo 79, Parnu 78. Lost. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.32, Parnu 3.13.
Sep 30: Parnu 73, Neftchi IK 61. Won. Odds: Parnu 1.55, Neftchi IK 2.27.
Sep 26: Parnu 76, BK Liepaja 73. Won. Odds: Parnu 1.57, BK Liepaja 2.29.
Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Lost. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.

Keila KK 1-4

Oct 3: Keila KK 80, Valmiera Glass Via 103. Lost. Odds: Keila KK 9.08, Valmiera Glass Via 1.04.
Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
Mar 14: Keila KK 74, Valmiera Glass Via 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 11: Keila Coolbet 93, Keila KK 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Keila KK 119, Latvijas Universitate 115. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAR moneyline	1.10	moved down 1.08
KEI moneyline	6.50	moved down 6.05
Total points	165.5	moved down 164.5
PAR spread	−12.5	moved down −13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Latvia-Estonian League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	1.000	658	529	+129
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	.875	718	571	+147
3	Valmiera Glass Via	8	6	2	.750	716	606	+110
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	.750	696	649	+47
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	.714	576	518	+58
6	Tal Tech	9	6	3	.667	671	646	+25
7	BC Kalev	7	4	3	.571	589	569	+20
8	Parnu	6	3	3	.500	463	467	−4
9	Rigas Juniori	6	3	3	.500	505	530	−25
10	BK Ogre	7	3	4	.429	607	603	+4
11	Keila KK	8	3	5	.375	575	669	−94
12	BK Liepaja	7	2	5	.286	561	550	+11
13	Viimsi	9	1	8	.111	641	774	−133
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	.111	692	827	−135
15	Keila Coolbet	8	0	8	.000	568	728	−160

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Parnu host Keila KK in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.