Parnu vs BK Liepaja Prediction & Odds

Latvia-Estonian League Saturday, September 26, 2026Sat, Sep 26 Start10:00ET

ParnuHome · 3-3 · 8th · 1.57

7616231819

BK LiepajaAway · 2-5 · 12th · 2.29

7318181621

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Parnu 16 23 18 19

BK Liepaja 18 18 16 21

FT Parnu SpordihallParnu Spordihall

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.47 89%

Parnu to win edge +8.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.47 Parnu to win Confidence89% model 77.7% · market 69.5% edge +8.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 77.7% 69.5% +8.2% 89% Won

Total points U161.5 1.90 52.4% 48.9% +3.5% 54% Won

Point spread PAR -6.5 1.85 62.7% 50.0% +12.7% 75% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7686

BK Liepaja7374

Total 160 actual 149

Winning margin PAR by 12 actual PAR by 3

Chance to win PAR 78% PAR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Parnu7686

BK Liepaja7374

Total 160 Margin PAR by 12 Win PAR 78% Actual 149 · PAR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Parnu large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction BK Liepaja

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Parnu vs BK Liepaja

Parnu BK Liepaja

Last 12 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Parnu 1-4

Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Lost. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
Mar 23: Parnu 88, Tartu Ulikool 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 20: Tartu Ulikool 80, Parnu 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 11: Parnu 88, Viimsi 75. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Rigas Zelli 83, Parnu 75. Lost. No odds on record.

BK Liepaja 1-4

Sep 23: BK Liepaja 69, Tindastoll 92. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.76, Tindastoll 2.01.
Mar 14: BK Liepaja 74, VEF Riga 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 10: Latvijas Universitate 83, BK Liepaja 102. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 4: Viimsi 76, BK Liepaja 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 18: BK Liepaja 82, Ventspils 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
PAR moneyline	1.31	moved up 1.57
LIE moneyline	3.20	moved down 2.29
Total points	161.5	moved up 162.5
PAR spread · regulation	−6.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Latvia-Estonian League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	1.000	658	529	+129
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	.875	718	571	+147
3	Valmiera Glass Via	8	6	2	.750	716	606	+110
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	.750	696	649	+47
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	.714	576	518	+58
6	Tal Tech	9	6	3	.667	671	646	+25
7	BC Kalev	7	4	3	.571	589	569	+20
8	Parnu	6	3	3	.500	463	467	−4
9	Rigas Juniori	6	3	3	.500	505	530	−25
10	BK Ogre	7	3	4	.429	607	603	+4
11	Keila KK	8	3	5	.375	575	669	−94
12	BK Liepaja	7	2	5	.286	561	550	+11
13	Viimsi	9	1	8	.111	641	774	−133
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	.111	692	827	−135
15	Keila Coolbet	8	0	8	.000	568	728	−160

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Parnu host BK Liepaja in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.