Leones Quilpue vs Valdivia Prediction & Odds — Sep 30

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LNB Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start20:30ET

Leones QuilpueHome · 11-2 · 2nd · 1.55

7827181815

ValdiviaAway · 12-1 · 1st · 2.25

6515271112

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Leones Quilpue 27 18 18 15

Valdivia 15 27 11 12

FT Gimnasio Colegio Los Leones · ChileGimnasio Colegio Los Leones

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.55 53%

Leones Quilpue to win edge −3.5%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.55 Leones Quilpue to win Confidence53% model 51.5% · market 55.0% edge −3.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.55 51.5% 55.0% −3.5% 53% Won

Total points O152.5 1.85 60.2% 50.0% +10.2% 56% Lost

Point spread VAL +2.5 1.91 55.1% 48.5% +6.6% 60% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leones Quilpue7882

Valdivia6581

Total 163 actual 143

Winning margin LEO by 1 actual LEO by 13

Chance to win LEO 51% LEO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leones Quilpue7882

Valdivia6581

Total 163 Margin LEO by 1 Win LEO 51% Actual 143 · LEO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 11+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Leones Quilpue large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Valdivia

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Leones Quilpue vs Valdivia

Leones Quilpue Valdivia

Last 21 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Leones Quilpue 4-1

Sep 27: Espanol Osorno 67, Leones Quilpue 89. Won. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.70, Leones Quilpue 1.39.
Sep 26: Valdivia 92, Leones Quilpue 77. Lost. Odds: Valdivia 1.62, Leones Quilpue 2.12.
Sep 17: Puente Alto 75, Leones Quilpue 87. Won. Odds: Puente Alto 3.50, Leones Quilpue 1.24.
Sep 15: Leones Quilpue 79, U. De Concepcion 72. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, U. De Concepcion 3.25.
Aug 17: Catolica 76, Leones Quilpue 79. Won. No odds on record.

Valdivia 5-0

Sep 27: Valdivia 86, Puente Alto 62. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.12, Puente Alto 5.00.
Sep 26: Valdivia 92, Leones Quilpue 77. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.62, Leones Quilpue 2.12.
Sep 14: Valdivia 89, Ancud 76. Won. Odds: Valdivia 1.04, Ancud 6.90.
Sep 12: Espanol Osorno 82, Valdivia 83. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 17: Las Animas 58, Valdivia 90. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LEO moneyline	1.59	moved down 1.55
VAL moneyline	2.09	moved up 2.25
Total points · regulation	152.5	moved down 147.5
LEO spread · regulation	−2.5	−2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNB standings

Clausura - Winners

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Valdivia	13	12	1	25	1150	973	+177
2	Leones Quilpue	13	11	2	24	1080	942	+138
3	U. De Concepcion	13	9	4	22	1131	1057	+74
4	Puente Alto	14	6	8	20	1093	1163	−70
5	Puerto Montt	13	6	7	19	1011	1039	−28
6	Ancud	14	4	10	18	1102	1163	−61
7	Espanol Osorno	13	3	10	16	938	1017	−79
8	CD Puerto Varas	13	2	11	15	973	1124	−151
9	Catolica	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
9	Espanol de Talca	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
10	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	—	—	0

Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Leones Quilpue host Valdivia in the LNB on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.