Leones Quilpue vs Espanol Osorno Prediction & Odds

LNB Thursday, October 1, 2026Thu, Oct 1 Start19:00ET

Leones QuilpueHome · 11-2 · 2nd · 1.09

8133171912

Espanol OsornoAway · 3-10 · 7th · 5.75

617121428

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Leones Quilpue 33 17 19 12

Espanol Osorno 7 12 14 28

FT Gimnasio Colegio Los Leones · ChileGimnasio Colegio Los Leones

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.09 89%

Leones Quilpue to win edge −6.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.09 Leones Quilpue to win Confidence89% model 73.3% · market 80.0% edge −6.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.09 73.3% 80.0% −6.7% 89% Won

Total points O153.5 1.85 54.3% 50.0% +4.3% 53% Lost

Point spread ESP +12.5 1.80 43.0% 51.5% −8.5% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leones Quilpue8183

Espanol Osorno6173

Total 156 actual 142

Winning margin LEO by 10 actual LEO by 20

Chance to win LEO 73% LEO won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Leones Quilpue8183

Espanol Osorno6173

Total 156 Margin LEO by 10 Win LEO 73% Actual 142 · LEO won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 12+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Leones Quilpue large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Espanol Osorno

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Leones Quilpue vs Espanol Osorno

Leones Quilpue Espanol Osorno

Last 21 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Leones Quilpue 4-1

Sep 30: Leones Quilpue 78, Valdivia 65. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.55, Valdivia 2.25.
Sep 27: Espanol Osorno 67, Leones Quilpue 89. Won. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.70, Leones Quilpue 1.39.
Sep 26: Valdivia 92, Leones Quilpue 77. Lost. Odds: Valdivia 1.62, Leones Quilpue 2.12.
Sep 17: Puente Alto 75, Leones Quilpue 87. Won. Odds: Puente Alto 3.50, Leones Quilpue 1.24.
Sep 15: Leones Quilpue 79, U. De Concepcion 72. Won. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, U. De Concepcion 3.25.

Espanol Osorno 1-4

Sep 30: Puente Alto 80, Espanol Osorno 73. Lost. Odds: Puente Alto 1.98, Espanol Osorno 1.72.
Sep 27: Espanol Osorno 67, Leones Quilpue 89. Lost. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.70, Leones Quilpue 1.39.
Sep 26: Espanol Osorno 89, Puente Alto 69. Won. Odds: Espanol Osorno 1.42, Puente Alto 2.57.
Sep 16: Ancud 74, Espanol Osorno 65. Lost. Odds: Ancud 1.84, Espanol Osorno 1.82.
Sep 12: Espanol Osorno 82, Valdivia 83. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LEO moneyline	1.15	moved down 1.09
ESP moneyline	4.60	moved up 5.75
Total points · regulation	153.5	moved down 152.5
LEO spread · regulation	−12.5	moved down −14.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNB standings

Clausura - Winners

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Valdivia	13	12	1	25	1150	973	+177
2	Leones Quilpue	13	11	2	24	1080	942	+138
3	U. De Concepcion	13	9	4	22	1131	1057	+74
4	Puente Alto	14	6	8	20	1093	1163	−70
5	Puerto Montt	13	6	7	19	1011	1039	−28
6	Ancud	14	4	10	18	1102	1163	−61
7	Espanol Osorno	13	3	10	16	938	1017	−79
8	CD Puerto Varas	13	2	11	15	973	1124	−151
9	Catolica	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
9	Espanol de Talca	0	0	0	0	—	—	0
10	Colo Colo	0	0	0	0	—	—	0

Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Leones Quilpue host Espanol Osorno in the LNB on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.