KK Triglav Kranj vs Rogaska prediction
KK Triglav Kranj
13
21
18
20
Rogaska
19
22
17
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
KK Triglav Kranj7284Rogaska7472KK Triglav Kranj7284Rogaska7472Total 156 Margin KTK by 12 Win KTK 75% Actual 146 · ROG won
KK Triglav Kranj
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Rogaska
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
KK Triglav Kranj vs Rogaska
KK Triglav Kranj
Rogaska
Last 5 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: KK Triglav Kranj 2, Rogaska 1.
- Average total 166.7 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ROG by 2 Apr 18, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 18, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 96–94 OT KK Triglav Kranj 190 pts · OT
- Jan 17, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Triglav Kranj 89–72 Rogaska 161 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Rogaska 71–78 KK Triglav Kranj 149 pts
Last five games
KK Triglav Kranj
1-4 - Oct 9: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Helios Domzale 60. Won. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 1.15, Helios Domzale 4.30.
- Sep 30: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Perspektiva Ilirija 89. Lost. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 2.65, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.42.
- Sep 26: Zlatorog Lasko 72, KK Triglav Kranj 69. Lost. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 2.42, KK Triglav Kranj 1.50.
- May 13: Perspektiva Ilirija 72, KK Triglav Kranj 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 11: KK Triglav Kranj 70, Perspektiva Ilirija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Rogaska
1-4 - Oct 10: Rogaska 67, Gorica 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Celje 59, Rogaska 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Polzela 87, Rogaska 49. Lost. Odds: Polzela 1.35, Rogaska 2.92.
- Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Lost. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
- May 4: Zlatorog Lasko 80, Rogaska 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 18.9 — KK Triglav Kranj −1.0 per 100 possessions, Rogaska −19.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for KK Triglav Kranj.
- 1-4 in the last five for KK Triglav Kranj.
- 1-4 in the last five for Rogaska.
- 166.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 152.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KTK moneyline | 1.12 | moved up 1.15 |
| ROG moneyline | 3.80 | moved down 3.45 |
| Total points | 153.5 | moved down 152.5 |
| KTK spread | −10.5 | moved up −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 |  Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 |  Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 |  Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 | Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 | KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
KK Triglav Kranj host Rogaska in the Liga Nova KBM on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.