KK Triglav Kranj vs Perspektiva Ilirija prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin KTK by 18 Win KTK 84% Actual 168 · PER won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
KK Triglav Kranj vs Perspektiva Ilirija
Last 5 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: KK Triglav Kranj 2, Perspektiva Ilirija 3.
- Average total 162.6 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 5 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting PER by 7 May 13, 2026
Meetings
- May 13, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Perspektiva Ilirija 72–65 KK Triglav Kranj 137 pts
- May 11, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Triglav Kranj 70–86 Perspektiva Ilirija 156 pts
- May 8, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Perspektiva Ilirija 84–85 KK Triglav Kranj 169 pts
- Apr 9, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Perspektiva Ilirija 98–91 KK Triglav Kranj 189 pts
- Dec 16, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Perspektiva Ilirija 77–85 KK Triglav Kranj 162 pts
Last five games
- Sep 26: Zlatorog Lasko 72, KK Triglav Kranj 69. Lost. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 2.42, KK Triglav Kranj 1.50.
- May 13: Perspektiva Ilirija 72, KK Triglav Kranj 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 11: KK Triglav Kranj 70, Perspektiva Ilirija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Perspektiva Ilirija 84, KK Triglav Kranj 85. Won. No odds on record.
- May 3: KK Triglav Kranj 82, Tajfun Sentjur 58. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: Perspektiva Ilirija 86, Gorica 59. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.02, Gorica 10.25.
- May 23: KK Krka Novo mesto 97, Perspektiva Ilirija 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Perspektiva Ilirija 105, KK Krka Novo mesto 89. Won. No odds on record.
- May 18: KK Krka Novo mesto 94, Perspektiva Ilirija 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Perspektiva Ilirija 72, KK Triglav Kranj 65. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for KK Triglav Kranj coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on KK Triglav Kranj dropped from 4.30 to 2.65 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Perspektiva Ilirija, 3 for KK Triglav Kranj.
- Net rating difference of 9.1 — KK Triglav Kranj −1.0 per 100 possessions, Perspektiva Ilirija +8.1.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Perspektiva Ilirija.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KTK moneyline | 4.30 | moved down 2.65 |
| PER moneyline | 1.19 | moved up 1.42 |
| Total points · regulation | 154.5 | 154.5 |
| KTK spread · regulation | +8.5 | moved down +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
KK Triglav Kranj host Perspektiva Ilirija in the Liga Nova KBM on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.