KK Triglav Kranj vs Helios Domzale prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 153 Margin KTK by 11 Win KTK 71% Actual 139 · KTK won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
KK Triglav Kranj vs Helios Domzale
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: KK Triglav Kranj 0, Helios Domzale 3.
- Average total 155.0 points per meeting
- Over 151.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HEL by 15 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Helios Domzale 91–76 KK Triglav Kranj 167 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Liga Nova KBM KK Triglav Kranj 64–79 Helios Domzale 143 pts
- Sep 29, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Helios Domzale 79–76 KK Triglav Kranj 155 pts
Last five games
- Sep 30: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Perspektiva Ilirija 89. Lost. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 2.65, Perspektiva Ilirija 1.42.
- Sep 26: Zlatorog Lasko 72, KK Triglav Kranj 69. Lost. Odds: Zlatorog Lasko 2.42, KK Triglav Kranj 1.50.
- May 13: Perspektiva Ilirija 72, KK Triglav Kranj 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 11: KK Triglav Kranj 70, Perspektiva Ilirija 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Perspektiva Ilirija 84, KK Triglav Kranj 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Gorica 88, Helios Domzale 69. Lost. Odds: Gorica 2.27, Helios Domzale 1.57.
- Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Lost. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Helios Domzale 70, Sencur 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Helios Domzale coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for KK Triglav Kranj coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Helios Domzale.
- Net rating difference of 19.9 — KK Triglav Kranj −1.0 per 100 possessions, Helios Domzale −20.9.
- 155.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 151.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KTK moneyline | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| HEL moneyline | 4.40 | moved down 4.30 |
| Total points | 151.5 | 151.5 |
| KTK spread | −10.5 | −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
KK Triglav Kranj host Helios Domzale in the Liga Nova KBM on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.