KK Krka Novo mesto vs Helios Domzale prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 152 Margin KKN by 14 Win KKN 78% Actual 160 · KKN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
KK Krka Novo mesto vs Helios Domzale
Last 12 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: KK Krka Novo mesto 2, Helios Domzale 1.
- Average total 174.3 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KKN by 21 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 102–81 Helios Domzale 183 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 Liga Nova KBM KK Krka Novo mesto 80–85 Helios Domzale 165 pts
- Oct 1, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Helios Domzale 78–97 KK Krka Novo mesto 175 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: KK Krka Novo mesto 68, FMP Beograd 79. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.94, FMP Beograd 1.82.
- Oct 7: Perspektiva Ilirija 82, KK Krka Novo mesto 83. Won. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.87, KK Krka Novo mesto 1.80.
- Oct 2: KK Krka Novo mesto 72, Buducnost 77. Lost. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 3.40, Buducnost 1.26.
- Sep 29: KK Krka Novo mesto 77, Zlatorog Lasko 61. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto –, Zlatorog Lasko 15.00.
- Sep 22: KK Krka Novo mesto 87, Tajfun Sentjur 55. Won. Odds: KK Krka Novo mesto 1.02, Tajfun Sentjur 9.00.
- Oct 9: KK Triglav Kranj 79, Helios Domzale 60. Lost. Odds: KK Triglav Kranj 1.15, Helios Domzale 4.30.
- Oct 3: Gorica 88, Helios Domzale 69. Lost. Odds: Gorica 2.27, Helios Domzale 1.57.
- Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Lost. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Helios Domzale coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Helios Domzale, 2 for KK Krka Novo mesto.
- Over/under moved up from 153.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 29.5 — KK Krka Novo mesto +8.6 per 100 possessions, Helios Domzale −20.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for KK Krka Novo mesto.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KKN moneyline | 1.02 | moved down 1.01 |
| HEL moneyline | 10.50 | moved up 11.50 |
| Total points | 153.5 | moved up 156.5 |
| KKN spread | −22.5 | moved down −25.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
KK Krka Novo mesto host Helios Domzale in the Liga Nova KBM on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.