Helios Domzale vs Polzela prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin HEL by 1 Win HEL 53% Actual 133 · POL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Helios Domzale vs Polzela
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Helios Domzale 2, Polzela 1.
- Average total 159.7 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 3 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting POL by 4 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Helios Domzale 71–75 Polzela 146 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nova KBM Polzela 73–88 Helios Domzale 161 pts
- Nov 14, 2025 Liga Nova KBM Helios Domzale 99–73 Polzela 172 pts
Last five games
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Helios Domzale 70, Sencur 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Rogaska 97, Helios Domzale 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Helios Domzale 80, Tajfun Sentjur 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Polzela 80, KK Krka Novo mesto 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: KK Krka Novo mesto 94, Polzela 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Polzela 96, Terme Olimia Podčetrtek 68. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Perspektiva Ilirija 103, Polzela 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Polzela 87, Zlatorog Lasko 67. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Helios Domzale coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Polzela dropped from 2.87 to 1.53 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 38.0 — Helios Domzale −20.9 per 100 possessions, Polzela +17.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Helios Domzale.
- 159.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 163.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| HEL moneyline | 1.37 | moved up 2.35 |
| POL moneyline | 2.87 | moved down 1.53 |
| Total points · regulation | 162.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| HEL spread · regulation | −4.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Helios Domzale host Polzela in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.