Gorica vs Sencur prediction
Gorica
12
18
10
30
Sencur
18
22
18
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Gorica7081Sencur7681Gorica7081Sencur7681Total 162 Win GOR 50% Actual 146 · SEN won
Gorica vs Sencur
Gorica
Sencur
Last 9 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Gorica at home, last 4 games · Sencur away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Gorica
3-2 - Oct 13: Crnomelj 53, Gorica 106. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Rogaska 67, Gorica 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Sonik Puntamika 84, Gorica 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Gorica 88, Helios Domzale 69. Won. Odds: Gorica 2.27, Helios Domzale 1.57.
- Sep 23: Perspektiva Ilirija 86, Gorica 59. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.02, Gorica 10.25.
Sencur
3-2 - Oct 14: Vojvodina Novi Sad 79, Sencur 76. Lost. Odds: Vojvodina Novi Sad 1.29, Sencur 3.20.
- Oct 9: Sencur 96, Polzela 81. Won. Odds: Sencur 1.38, Polzela 2.80.
- Oct 3: Tajfun Sentjur 74, Sencur 99. Won. Odds: Tajfun Sentjur 2.92, Sencur 1.36.
- Sep 26: Rogaska 75, Sencur 92. Won. Odds: Rogaska 1.85, Sencur 1.85.
- May 23: Cedevita Olimpija 94, Sencur 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Gorica dropped from 3.50 to 2.45 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 163.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.8 — Gorica −2.4 per 100 possessions, Sencur +7.4.
- 5th vs 4th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GOR moneyline | 3.50 | moved down 2.45 |
| SEN moneyline | 1.26 | moved up 1.33 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved down 160.5 |
| GOR spread | +7.5 | moved down +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KK Krka Novo mesto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 |
| 2 |  Perspektiva Ilirija |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 |
| 3 |  Polzela |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 |
| 4 | Sencur |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 |
| 5 | Gorica |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 |
| 6 |  Zlatorog Lasko |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 |
| 7 |  Rogaska |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 |
| 8 |  KK Triglav Kranj |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 |
| 9 |  Helios Domzale |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 |
| 10 |  Tajfun Sentjur |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gorica host Sencur in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.