Gorica vs Helios Domzale prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin GOR by 26 Win GOR 93% Actual 157 · GOR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Gorica vs Helios Domzale
Last 9 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 23: Perspektiva Ilirija 86, Gorica 59. Lost. Odds: Perspektiva Ilirija 1.02, Gorica 10.25.
- Apr 18: Gorica 98, Novi Zagreb 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Skrljevo 108, Gorica 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Gorica 78, Mladost 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Omis 94, Gorica 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 26: Helios Domzale 59, Polzela 74. Lost. Odds: Helios Domzale 2.35, Polzela 1.53.
- May 12: Helios Domzale 75, Sencur 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Sencur 75, Helios Domzale 65. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 4: Helios Domzale 70, Sencur 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Rogaska 97, Helios Domzale 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Helios Domzale coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 18.5 — Gorica −2.4 per 100 possessions, Helios Domzale −20.9.
- 5th vs 9th in the Liga Nova KBM standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GOR moneyline | 2.55 | moved down 2.27 |
| HEL moneyline | 1.47 | moved up 1.57 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved down 154.5 |
| GOR spread | +4.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Nova KBM standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 534 | 406 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 507 | 425 | +82 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 498 | 420 | +78 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 441 | 398 | +43 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 439 | 443 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 423 | 454 | −31 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 396 | 488 | −92 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 381 | 393 | −12 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 487 | −85 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 402 | 509 | −107 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gorica host Helios Domzale in the Liga Nova KBM on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.