CD Puerto Varas vs U. De Concepcion prediction
CD Puerto Varas
25
19
25
22
U. De Concepcion
23
19
23
33
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
CD Puerto Varas9182U. De Concepcion9879CD Puerto Varas9182U. De Concepcion9879Total 161 Margin CPV by 3 Win CPV 60% Actual 189 · UDC won
CD Puerto Varas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction U. De Concepcion
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
CD Puerto Varas vs U. De Concepcion
CD Puerto Varas
U. De Concepcion
Last 24 and 19 games with full stats · all competitions
CD Puerto Varas at home, last 19 games · U. De Concepcion away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: CD Puerto Varas 0, U. De Concepcion 3.
- Average total 156.0 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UDC by 20 Sep 23, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 23, 2026 LNB U. De Concepcion 96–76 CD Puerto Varas 172 pts
- Oct 16, 2025 LNB CD Puerto Varas 66–78 U. De Concepcion 144 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 LNB U. De Concepcion 85–67 CD Puerto Varas 152 pts
Last five games
CD Puerto Varas
1-4 - Oct 2: CD Puerto Varas 73, Ancud 72. Won. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 1.62, Ancud 2.10.
- Sep 28: Ancud 79, CD Puerto Varas 74. Lost. Odds: Ancud 1.36, CD Puerto Varas 2.80.
- Sep 23: U. De Concepcion 96, CD Puerto Varas 76. Lost. Odds: U. De Concepcion –, CD Puerto Varas 10.00.
- Sep 16: Puerto Montt 82, CD Puerto Varas 78. Lost. Odds: Puerto Montt 1.40, CD Puerto Varas 2.65.
- Sep 14: CD Puerto Varas 68, Puerto Montt 81. Lost. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 1.40, Puerto Montt 2.60.
U. De Concepcion
4-1 - Oct 2: Puerto Montt 87, U. De Concepcion 92. Won. Odds: Puerto Montt 4.00, U. De Concepcion 1.19.
- Sep 27: U. De Concepcion 87, Puerto Montt 59. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.10, Puerto Montt 5.00.
- Sep 23: U. De Concepcion 96, CD Puerto Varas 76. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion –, CD Puerto Varas 10.00.
- Sep 15: Leones Quilpue 79, U. De Concepcion 72. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.26, U. De Concepcion 3.25.
- Sep 14: Puente Alto 96, U. De Concepcion 97. After overtime. Won. Odds: Puente Alto 4.35, U. De Concepcion 1.16.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — CD Puerto Varas and U. De Concepcion played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for U. De Concepcion coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for U. De Concepcion.
- Net rating difference of 20.5 — CD Puerto Varas −10.1 per 100 possessions, U. De Concepcion +10.4.
- −11.9 points away — U. De Concepcion averaged 99.0 at home and 87.1 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| CPV moneyline | 5.25 | moved down 4.55 |
| UDC moneyline | 1.10 | moved up 1.12 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 161.5 |
| CPV spread | +12.5 | +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Clausura - Winners
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valdivia |
13 | 12 | 1 | 25 | 1150 | 973 | +177 |
| 2 |  Leones Quilpue |
13 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 1080 | 942 | +138 |
| 3 | U. De Concepcion |
13 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 1131 | 1057 | +74 |
| 4 |  Puente Alto |
14 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 1093 | 1163 | −70 |
| 5 |  Puerto Montt |
13 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1011 | 1039 | −28 |
| 6 |  Ancud |
14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 1102 | 1163 | −61 |
| 7 |  Espanol Osorno |
13 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 938 | 1017 | −79 |
| 8 | CD Puerto Varas |
13 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 973 | 1124 | −151 |
| 9 |  Catolica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| 9 |  Espanol de Talca |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| 10 |  Colo Colo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
CD Puerto Varas host U. De Concepcion in the LNB on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.