BK Ogre vs Ventspils prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin VEN by 1 Win VEN 52% Actual 180 · VEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BK Ogre vs Ventspils
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BK Ogre 1, Ventspils 1.
- Average total 154.5 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting OGR by 2 Jan 4, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 4, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Ventspils 83–85 BK Ogre 168 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BK Ogre 70–71 Ventspils 141 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Tal Tech 82, BK Ogre 78. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 1.30, BK Ogre 2.80.
- Oct 16: Viimsi 69, BK Ogre 76. Won. Odds: Viimsi 3.45, BK Ogre 1.27.
- Oct 10: BK Ogre 106, Latvijas Universitate 81. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 1.13, Latvijas Universitate 4.95.
- Oct 3: Rigas Zelli 107, BK Ogre 85. Lost. Odds: Rigas Zelli 1.08, BK Ogre 6.65.
- Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Lost. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
- Oct 16: Ventspils 82, Tal Tech 85. Lost. Odds: Ventspils 1.53, Tal Tech 2.40.
- Oct 11: Keila Coolbet 68, Ventspils 85. Won. Odds: Keila Coolbet 6.00, Ventspils 1.08.
- Oct 10: BC Kalev/Cramo 73, Ventspils 86. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.46, Ventspils 2.59.
- Oct 2: Ventspils 92, Tartu Ulikool 85. Won. Odds: Ventspils 2.50, Tartu Ulikool 1.45.
- Sep 28: Latvijas Universitate 92, Ventspils 108. Won. Odds: Latvijas Universitate 6.32, Ventspils 1.09.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ventspils dropped from 1.71 to 1.47 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Ventspils, 2 for BK Ogre.
- 4-1 away for Ventspils this season.
- Net rating difference of 9.1 — BK Ogre −3.0 per 100 possessions, Ventspils +6.1.
- 4-1 in the last five for Ventspils.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OGR moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 2.25 |
| VEN moneyline | 1.71 | moved down 1.47 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| OGR spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BK Ogre host Ventspils in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.