BK Ogre vs VEF Riga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 171 Margin OGR by 7 Win OGR 67% Actual 165 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BK Ogre vs VEF Riga
Last 6 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BK Ogre 0, VEF Riga 2.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 168.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting RIG by 16 Nov 8, 2025
Meetings
- Nov 8, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League VEF Riga 90–74 BK Ogre 164 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BK Ogre 92–94 VEF Riga 186 pts
Last five games
- Mar 14: BK Ogre 101, Latvijas Universitate 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: BC Kalev/Cramo 104, BK Ogre 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 18: Rigas Zelli 90, BK Ogre 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 14: BK Ogre 76, Tal Tech 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 11: BK Liepaja 80, BK Ogre 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: VEF Riga 104, Latvijas Universitate 66. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Latvijas Universitate 17.00.
- Sep 17: VEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 2.14, Dziki Warszawa 1.68.
- Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: VEF Riga 87, BC Kalev/Cramo 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: VEF Riga 87, Valmiera Glass Via 89. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for BK Ogre coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — BK Ogre −3.0 per 100 possessions, VEF Riga +14.7.
- 10th vs 2nd in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| OGR moneyline | 3.55 | moved up 3.97 |
| RIG moneyline | 1.25 | moved down 1.22 |
| Total points | 168.5 | 168.5 |
| OGR spread · regulation | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BK Ogre host VEF Riga in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.