BK Liepaja vs Tartu Ulikool prediction
BK Liepaja
20
22
24
17
Tartu Ulikool
25
23
20
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
BK Liepaja8380Tartu Ulikool8784BK Liepaja8380Tartu Ulikool8784Total 164 Margin TAR by 4 Win TAR 61% Actual 170 · TAR won
BK Liepaja
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tartu Ulikool
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BK Liepaja vs Tartu Ulikool
BK Liepaja
Tartu Ulikool
Last 11 games each with full stats · all competitions
BK Liepaja at home, last 7 games · Tartu Ulikool away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BK Liepaja 0, Tartu Ulikool 2.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 159.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAR by 10 Feb 7, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 7, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Tartu Ulikool 87–77 BK Liepaja 164 pts
- Oct 8, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BK Liepaja 81–87 Tartu Ulikool 168 pts
Last five games
BK Liepaja
1-4 - Sep 26: Parnu 76, BK Liepaja 73. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.57, BK Liepaja 2.29.
- Sep 23: BK Liepaja 69, Tindastoll 92. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.76, Tindastoll 2.01.
- Mar 14: BK Liepaja 74, VEF Riga 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Latvijas Universitate 83, BK Liepaja 102. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 4: Viimsi 76, BK Liepaja 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Tartu Ulikool
3-2 - Sep 24: Tartu Ulikool 90, BC Kalev/Cramo 63. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 1.79, BC Kalev/Cramo 1.97.
- Apr 8: Tartu Ulikool 95, Valmiera Glass Via 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 3: Tartu Ulikool 89, BC Kalev/Cramo 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: BC Kalev/Cramo 86, Tartu Ulikool 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Tartu Ulikool 98, BC Kalev/Cramo 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for BK Liepaja coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Tartu Ulikool, 3 for BK Liepaja.
- Net rating difference of 7.9 — BK Liepaja −3.3 per 100 possessions, Tartu Ulikool +4.6.
- 12th vs 5th in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIE moneyline | 3.75 | moved up 4.33 |
| TAR moneyline | 1.23 | moved down 1.19 |
| Total points | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| LIE spread · regulation | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rigas Zelli |
7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 |
| 2 |  VEF Riga |
8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 |
| 3 |  Valmiera Glass Via |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 |
| 4 |  Ventspils |
8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 |
| 5 | Tartu Ulikool |
7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 |
| 6 |  Tal Tech |
9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 |
| 7 |  BC Kalev |
7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 |
| 8 |  Parnu |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 |
| 9 |  Rigas Juniori |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 |
| 10 |  BK Ogre |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 |
| 11 |  Keila KK |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 |
| 12 | BK Liepaja |
7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 |
| 13 |  Viimsi |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 |
| 14 |  Latvijas Universitate |
9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 |
| 15 |  Keila Coolbet |
8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BK Liepaja host Tartu Ulikool in the Latvia-Estonian League on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.