BK Liepaja vs Tal Tech prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin TAL by 2 Win TAL 53% Actual 149 · TAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BK Liepaja vs Tal Tech
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
BK Liepaja at home, last 7 games · Tal Tech away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BK Liepaja 0, Tal Tech 2.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting TAL by 19 Dec 21, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 21, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League Tal Tech 95–76 BK Liepaja 171 pts
- Oct 15, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BK Liepaja 71–80 Tal Tech 151 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: BK Liepaja 98, Rigas Juniori 88. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.06, Rigas Juniori 7.57.
- Oct 6: BK Liepaja 81, Lausanne Basket 74. Won. Odds: BK Liepaja 1.77, Lausanne Basket 1.98.
- Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Lost. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
- Sep 30: BK Liepaja 83, Tartu Ulikool 87. Lost. Odds: BK Liepaja 4.33, Tartu Ulikool 1.19.
- Sep 26: Parnu 76, BK Liepaja 73. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.57, BK Liepaja 2.29.
- Oct 10: Tal Tech 70, VEF Riga 90. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 5.15, VEF Riga 1.12.
- Oct 7: Voluntari 80, Tal Tech 74. Lost. Odds: Voluntari 1.18, Tal Tech 4.10.
- Oct 4: Viimsi 64, Tal Tech 85. Won. Odds: Viimsi 4.41, Tal Tech 1.19.
- Sep 30: Tal Tech 83, Donar Groningen 70. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 2.25, Donar Groningen 1.55.
- Sep 26: Tal Tech 73, Rigas Zelli 79. Lost. Odds: Tal Tech 4.20, Rigas Zelli 1.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 7.4 — BK Liepaja −3.3 per 100 possessions, Tal Tech +4.1.
- 12th vs 6th in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LIE moneyline | 2.25 | moved up 2.58 |
| TAL moneyline | 1.57 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 159.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| LIE spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BK Liepaja host Tal Tech in the Latvia-Estonian League on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.