BC Kalev vs Rigas Zelli prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 164 Margin RIG by 4 Win RIG 60% Actual 180 · RIG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
BC Kalev vs Rigas Zelli
Last 11 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
BC Kalev at home, last 7 games · Rigas Zelli away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: BC Kalev 3, Rigas Zelli 2.
- Average total 173.4 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KAL by 2 Mar 25, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 25, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League BC Kalev/Cramo 102–100 OT Rigas Zelli 202 pts · OT
- Mar 22, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Rigas Zelli 86–93 BC Kalev/Cramo 179 pts
- Mar 20, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League BC Kalev/Cramo 69–83 Rigas Zelli 152 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 Latvia-Estonian League Rigas Zelli 70–92 BC Kalev/Cramo 162 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Latvia-Estonian League BC Kalev/Cramo 72–100 Rigas Zelli 172 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Manchester Basketball 89, BC Kalev 85. Lost. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.61, BC Kalev 2.25.
- Oct 24: BC Kalev 98, Keila Coolbet 77. Won. Odds: BC Kalev 1.02, Keila Coolbet 7.50.
- Oct 21: BC Kalev/Cramo 88, Bashkimi 84. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.67, Bashkimi 2.02.
- Oct 17: BC Kalev/Cramo 100, Rigas Juniori 79. Won. Odds: BC Kalev/Cramo 1.03, Rigas Juniori 9.50.
- Oct 14: Valmiera Glass Via 82, BC Kalev/Cramo 74. Lost. Odds: Valmiera Glass Via 1.35, BC Kalev/Cramo 3.01.
- Oct 28: San Pablo Burgos 71, Rigas Zelli 79. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.17, Rigas Zelli 4.50.
- Oct 24: Rigas Zelli 103, Keila KK 70. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 1.01, Keila KK 8.25.
- Oct 21: Hapoel Jerusalem 100, Rigas Zelli 64. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Jerusalem 1.02, Rigas Zelli 10.50.
- Oct 17: Rigas Zelli 85, BK Liepaja 69. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 1.02, BK Liepaja 8.55.
- Oct 14: Rigas Zelli 89, Cedevita Olimpija 79. Won. Odds: Rigas Zelli 2.31, Cedevita Olimpija 1.58.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 7.7 — BC Kalev +2.8 per 100 possessions, Rigas Zelli +10.5.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for BC Kalev.
- 4-1 in the last five for Rigas Zelli.
- 173.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
- 7th vs 1st in the Latvia-Estonian League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| KAL moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 3.15 |
| RIG moneyline | 1.31 | moved down 1.28 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| KAL spread | +6.5 | moved up +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Latvia-Estonian League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 658 | 529 | +129 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 718 | 571 | +147 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 716 | 606 | +110 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 696 | 649 | +47 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 576 | 518 | +58 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 671 | 646 | +25 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 589 | 569 | +20 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 463 | 467 | −4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 505 | 530 | −25 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 607 | 603 | +4 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 575 | 669 | −94 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 561 | 550 | +11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 641 | 774 | −133 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 692 | 827 | −135 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 568 | 728 | −160 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
BC Kalev host Rigas Zelli in the Latvia-Estonian League on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.