Arkansas State vs Toledo prediction
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Arkansas State
ToledoArkansas StateToledoTotal Margin Win
Arkansas State vs Toledo
Arkansas State
Toledo
Last five games
Arkansas State
4-1 - Mar 5: Arkansas State 77, Georgia Southern 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 27: Arkansas State 81, Louisiana Lafayette 58. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 24: Arkansas State 89, Southern Miss 84. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 21: Louisiana Monroe 94, Arkansas State 102. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 19: Louisiana Lafayette 62, Arkansas State 79. Won. No odds on record.
Toledo
3-2 - Nov 1: Toledo 93, Jaen Paraiso 81. Won. Odds: Toledo 1.25, Jaen Paraiso 3.33.
- Oct 25: Moron 90, Toledo 81. Lost. Odds: Moron 1.70, Toledo 1.95.
- Oct 18: Toledo 100, Algeciras 79. Won. Odds: Toledo 1.25, Algeciras 3.57.
- Oct 10: Estudiantes B 78, Toledo 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Toledo 66, Caceres 82. Lost. Odds: Toledo 1.53, Caceres 2.30.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Arkansas State.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ARK moneyline | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| TOL moneyline | 2.38 | moved down 2.24 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| ARK spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NCAA standings
Regular Season · Sun Belt
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Appalachian State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 | Arkansas State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Coastal Carolina |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Georgia Southern |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Georgia State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Louisiana Monroe |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Louisiana Tech |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  Marshall |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Old Dominion |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  South Alabama |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 |  Southern Miss |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 |  Troy |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 13 |  Louisiana Lafayette |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 14 |  James Madison |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Regular Season · Mid-American
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Akron |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Ball State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 4 |  Buffalo |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 5 |  Central Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 6 |  Eastern Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 7 |  Kent State |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 8 |  UMass |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 9 |  Miami (Ohio) |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 10 |  Ohio |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 11 | Toledo |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
| 12 |  Western Michigan |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Arkansas State host Toledo in the NCAA on Monday, November 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.