Ancud vs U. De Concepcion prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin ANC by 1 Win ANC 52% Actual 164 · ANC won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ancud vs U. De Concepcion
Last 18 and 19 games with full stats · all competitions
Ancud at home, last 8 games · U. De Concepcion away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ancud 1, U. De Concepcion 4.
- Average total 153.4 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting UDC by 17 Oct 21, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 21, 2026 LNB U. De Concepcion 95–78 Ancud 173 pts
- Oct 31, 2025 LNB Ancud 67–79 U. De Concepcion 146 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 LNB U. De Concepcion 79–70 Ancud 149 pts
- Oct 19, 2025 LNB U. De Concepcion 63–77 Ancud 140 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 LNB Ancud 75–84 U. De Concepcion 159 pts
Last five games
- Oct 8: Puente Alto 90, Ancud 77. Lost. Odds: Puente Alto 1.53, Ancud 2.34.
- Oct 7: Leones Quilpue 85, Ancud 75. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.06, Ancud 7.00.
- Oct 4: Puerto Montt 93, Ancud 80. Lost. Odds: Puerto Montt 1.91, Ancud 1.75.
- Oct 2: CD Puerto Varas 73, Ancud 72. Lost. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 1.62, Ancud 2.10.
- Sep 28: Ancud 79, CD Puerto Varas 74. Won. Odds: Ancud 1.36, CD Puerto Varas 2.80.
- Oct 14: Espanol Osorno 89, U. De Concepcion 75. Lost. Odds: Espanol Osorno 2.90, U. De Concepcion 1.36.
- Oct 9: Valdivia 101, U. De Concepcion 85. Lost. Odds: Valdivia 1.50, U. De Concepcion 2.38.
- Oct 7: U. De Concepcion 74, Espanol Osorno 68. Won. Odds: U. De Concepcion 1.03, Espanol Osorno 8.25.
- Oct 3: CD Puerto Varas 91, U. De Concepcion 98. Won. Odds: CD Puerto Varas 4.55, U. De Concepcion 1.12.
- Oct 2: Puerto Montt 87, U. De Concepcion 92. Won. Odds: Puerto Montt 4.00, U. De Concepcion 1.19.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for U. De Concepcion, who played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Ancud coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 165.5 to 162.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.2 — Ancud −3.8 per 100 possessions, U. De Concepcion +10.4.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for U. De Concepcion.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ANC moneyline | 3.31 | moved down 3.10 |
| UDC moneyline | 1.23 | moved up 1.30 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved down 162.5 |
| ANC spread | +11.5 | moved down +7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNB standings
Clausura - Winners
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 25 | 1150 | 973 | +177 | |
| 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 1080 | 942 | +138 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 1131 | 1057 | +74 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 1093 | 1163 | −70 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1011 | 1039 | −28 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 1102 | 1163 | −61 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 938 | 1017 | −79 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 973 | 1124 | −151 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ancud host U. De Concepcion in the LNB on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.