AEK Athens vs Salon Vilpas prediction
AEK Athens
24
25
17
29
Salon Vilpas
24
20
27
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
AEK Athens9588Salon Vilpas9390AEK Athens9588Salon Vilpas9390Total 178 Margin SAL by 2 Win SAL 55% Actual 188 · ATH won
AEK Athens
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Salon Vilpas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
AEK Athens vs Salon Vilpas
AEK Athens
Salon Vilpas
Last 8 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
AEK Athens at home, last 4 games · Salon Vilpas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
AEK Athens
2-3 - Oct 3: AEK Athens 91, Maroussi 70. Won. Odds: AEK Athens 1.25, Maroussi 3.70.
- Sep 26: Olympiacos 93, AEK Athens 80. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.07, AEK Athens 7.25.
- May 30: AEK Athens 68, Olympiacos 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 28: Olympiacos 94, AEK Athens 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: AEK Athens 102, Aris 99. Won. No odds on record.
Salon Vilpas
4-1 - Oct 3: Pyrinto Tampere 79, Salon Vilpas 97. Won. Odds: Pyrinto Tampere 3.68, Salon Vilpas 1.25.
- Sep 29: Salon Vilpas 104, Honka 107. Lost. Odds: Salon Vilpas 1.08, Honka 6.69.
- Sep 23: Bisons Loimaa 74, Salon Vilpas 101. Won. Odds: Bisons Loimaa 2.17, Salon Vilpas 1.64.
- Sep 20: Salon Vilpas 98, CSM Oradea 96. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 4.00, CSM Oradea 1.20.
- Sep 18: Salon Vilpas 90, Bakken Bears 72. Won. Odds: Salon Vilpas 2.60, Bakken Bears 1.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 165.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 18.4 — AEK Athens −9.6 per 100 possessions, Salon Vilpas +8.8.
- 4-1 in the last five for Salon Vilpas.
- 3rd vs 4th in the Basketball Champions League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ATH moneyline | 1.08 | moved down 1.04 |
| SAL moneyline | 7.50 | moved up 9.00 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| ATH spread | −12.5 | moved down −16.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketball Champions League standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants |
2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 202 | 169 | +33 |
| 2 |  Szombathely |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 178 | 171 | +7 |
| 3 | AEK Athens |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 171 | 196 | −25 |
| 4 | Salon Vilpas |
2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 165 | 180 | −15 |
- Winners stage
- Qualification - Winners stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
AEK Athens host Salon Vilpas in the Basketball Champions League on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.