Zielona Gora vs Legia prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin ZIE by 3 Win ZIE 58% Actual 193 · ZIE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Zielona Gora vs Legia
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Zielona Gora at home, last 4 games · Legia away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Zielona Gora 2, Legia 3.
- Average total 165.2 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LEG by 14 Sep 27, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 27, 2026 Super Cup Legia 110–96 Zielona Gora 206 pts
- Jun 21, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Legia 78–70 Zielona Gora 148 pts
- Jun 19, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Zielona Gora 76–74 Legia 150 pts
- Jun 17, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Legia 84–80 Zielona Gora 164 pts
- Jun 15, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Zielona Gora 85–73 Legia 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Szolnoki Olaj 80, Zielona Gora 90. Won. Odds: Szolnoki Olaj 1.57, Zielona Gora 2.30.
- Oct 3: Bydgoszcz 105, Zielona Gora 95. Lost. Odds: Bydgoszcz 2.45, Zielona Gora 1.51.
- Sep 27: Legia 110, Zielona Gora 96. Lost. Odds: Legia 1.50, Zielona Gora 2.50.
- Sep 26: Dziki Warszawa 77, Zielona Gora 81. Won. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.42, Zielona Gora 2.60.
- Jun 21: Legia 78, Zielona Gora 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Strasbourg 100, Legia 62. Lost. Odds: Strasbourg 1.50, Legia 2.45.
- Oct 2: Czarni Slupsk 76, Legia 79. Won. Odds: Czarni Slupsk 2.90, Legia 1.34.
- Sep 27: Legia 110, Zielona Gora 96. Won. Odds: Legia 1.50, Zielona Gora 2.50.
- Sep 26: Legia 93, Trefl Sopot 89. Won. Odds: Legia 1.45, Trefl Sopot 2.62.
- Jun 21: Legia 78, Zielona Gora 70. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Legia.
- 4-1 in the last five for Legia.
- 165.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 166.5.
- 4th vs 8th in the Energa Basket Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ZIE moneyline | 2.00 | moved down 1.93 |
| LEG moneyline | 1.75 | moved up 1.77 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| ZIE spread | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Zielona Gora host Legia in the Energa Basket Liga on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.