Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Friday, October 23, 2026Fri, Oct 23 Start13:00ET Round 7

Zalgiris KaunasHome · 5-4 · 10th · 1.20

10529213124

Lyon-VilleurbanneAway · 4-5 · 15th · 4.00

8520142526

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Zalgiris Kaunas 29 21 31 24

Lyon-Villeurbanne 20 14 25 26

FT Zalgirio ArenaZalgirio Arena · Round 7

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

LYO +18.5 1.18 85%

Lyon-Villeurbanne +18.5 on the spread edge −1.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost LYO +18.5 1.18 Lyon-Villeurbanne +18.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 72.0% · market 73.1% edge −1.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 74.3% 82.4% −8.1% 85% Won

Total points O162.5 1.29 74.6% 73.1% +1.5% 85% Won

Point spread LYO +18.5 1.18 72.0% 73.1% −1.1% 85% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zalgiris Kaunas10592

Lyon-Villeurbanne8583

Total 175 actual 190

Winning margin ZAL by 9 actual ZAL by 20

Chance to win ZAL 74% ZAL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zalgiris Kaunas10592

Lyon-Villeurbanne8583

Total 175 Margin ZAL by 9 Win ZAL 74% Actual 190 · ZAL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 11+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Zalgiris Kaunas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Lyon-Villeurbanne

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lyon-Villeurbanne

Zalgiris Kaunas Lyon-Villeurbanne

Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Zalgiris Kaunas 3-2

Oct 18: Zalgiris Kaunas 96, Taurage 76. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.01, Taurage 8.00.
Oct 16: Zalgiris Kaunas 70, Anadolu Efes 85. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.35, Anadolu Efes 3.16.
Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
Oct 9: Barcelona 81, Zalgiris Kaunas 88. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.76, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.07.

Lyon-Villeurbanne 3-2

Oct 17: Limoges 94, Lyon-Villeurbanne 97. After overtime. Won. Odds: Limoges 2.62, Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.39.
Oct 15: Real Madrid 111, Lyon-Villeurbanne 92. Lost. Odds: Real Madrid 1.16, Lyon-Villeurbanne 5.23.
Oct 13: Lyon-Villeurbanne 82, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 84. Lost. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.05, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.65.
Oct 11: Lyon-Villeurbanne 96, Roanne 77. Won. Odds: Lyon-Villeurbanne 1.18, Roanne 3.95.
Oct 7: Paris 96, Lyon-Villeurbanne 98. Won. Odds: Paris 1.51, Lyon-Villeurbanne 2.56.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ZAL moneyline	1.17	moved up 1.20
LYO moneyline	4.45	moved down 4.00
Total points	174.5	moved down 173.5
ZAL spread	−10.5	moved up −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Zalgiris Kaunas host Lyon-Villeurbanne in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.