Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lietkabelis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin ZAL by 5 Win ZAL 66% Actual 165 · ZAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lietkabelis
Last 16 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Zalgiris Kaunas at home, last 8 games · Lietkabelis away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Zalgiris Kaunas 5, Lietkabelis 0.
- Average total 171.8 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAL by 10 May 31, 2026
Meetings
- May 31, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 103–93 Lietkabelis 196 pts
- May 28, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 75–95 Zalgiris Kaunas 170 pts
- May 26, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 85–75 Lietkabelis 160 pts
- May 10, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 87–70 Lietkabelis 157 pts
- Apr 4, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 82–94 Zalgiris Kaunas 176 pts
Last five games
- Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Lost. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
- Sep 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 91, Olympiacos 93. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2.11, Olympiacos 1.73.
- Sep 27: Zalgiris Kaunas 101, Siauliai 82. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.04, Siauliai 7.50.
- Sep 24: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 83. Won. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.67, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.15.
- Sep 20: Neptunas 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 93. Won. Odds: Neptunas 6.60, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.07.
- Sep 30: Lietkabelis 75, KK Bosna 72. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.69, KK Bosna 2.13.
- Sep 26: Lietkabelis 85, Taurage 79. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.52, Taurage 2.25.
- Sep 23: Siauliai 86, Lietkabelis 77. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 1.55, Lietkabelis 2.19.
- Sep 19: Lietkabelis 84, Juventus 82. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.62, Juventus 2.15.
- Jun 13: Lietkabelis 82, Neptunas 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- Net rating difference of 15.2 — Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4 per 100 possessions, Lietkabelis −1.8.
- 171.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
- 1st vs 4th in the LKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ZAL moneyline | 1.08 | moved down 1.06 |
| LIE moneyline | 7.00 | moved down 6.47 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| ZAL spread | −17.5 | −17.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Zalgiris Kaunas host Lietkabelis in the LKL on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.