Zalgiris Kaunas vs Jonava prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin ZAL by 9 Win ZAL 77% Actual 149 · ZAL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Jonava
Last 16 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Zalgiris Kaunas at home, last 8 games · Jonava away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Zalgiris Kaunas 5, Jonava 0.
- Average total 183.2 points per meeting
- Over 165.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAL by 15 May 22, 2026
Meetings
- May 22, 2026 LKL Jonava 75–90 Zalgiris Kaunas 165 pts
- May 20, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 102–82 Jonava 184 pts
- Apr 14, 2026 LKL Jonava 84–101 Zalgiris Kaunas 185 pts
- Mar 8, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 97–90 Jonava 187 pts
- Feb 1, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 104–91 Jonava 195 pts
Last five games
- Oct 23: Zalgiris Kaunas 105, Lyon-Villeurbanne 85. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.20, Lyon-Villeurbanne 4.00.
- Oct 18: Zalgiris Kaunas 96, Taurage 76. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.01, Taurage 8.00.
- Oct 16: Zalgiris Kaunas 70, Anadolu Efes 85. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.35, Anadolu Efes 3.16.
- Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
- Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
- Oct 17: Jonava 83, Neptunas 84. Lost. Odds: Jonava 3.10, Neptunas 1.33.
- Oct 10: Lietkabelis 65, Jonava 71. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.20, Jonava 3.70.
- Oct 3: Jonava 63, Siauliai 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 2.22, Siauliai 1.53.
- Sep 27: Jonava 71, Tindastoll 79. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.26, Tindastoll 3.53.
- Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Won. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Jonava, 1 for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- Over/under moved down from 167.5 to 165.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.7 — Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4 per 100 possessions, Jonava −0.3.
- 183.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 165.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ZAL moneyline | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| JON moneyline | 12.50 | moved down 8.00 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved down 165.5 |
| ZAL spread | −22.5 | −22.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Zalgiris Kaunas host Jonava in the LKL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.