Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Prediction & Odds

EuroLeague Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start13:00ET Round 6

Zalgiris KaunasHome · 5-4 · 10th · 1.35

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Anadolu EfesAway · 4-5 · 14th · 3.16

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By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Zalgiris Kaunas 12 24 20 14

Anadolu Efes 21 21 25 18

FT Zalgirio ArenaZalgirio Arena · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

ZAL +3.5 1.20 78%

Zalgiris Kaunas +3.5 on the spread edge +5.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost ZAL +3.5 1.20 Zalgiris Kaunas +3.5 on the spread Confidence78% model 78.5% · market 73.4% edge +5.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.35 70.0% 67.8% +2.2% 70% Lost

Total points U178.5 1.35 74.2% 72.1% +2.1% 74% Won

Point spread ZAL +3.5 1.20 78.5% 73.4% +5.1% 78% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zalgiris Kaunas7086

Anadolu Efes8580

Total 166 actual 155

Winning margin ZAL by 6 actual ANA by 15

Chance to win ZAL 70% ANA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zalgiris Kaunas7086

Anadolu Efes8580

Total 166 Margin ZAL by 6 Win ZAL 70% Actual 155 · ANA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 8+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Zalgiris Kaunas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Anadolu Efes

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes

Zalgiris Kaunas Anadolu Efes

Last 16 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Zalgiris Kaunas 3-2

Oct 13: Fenerbahce 99, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.33, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.30.
Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
Oct 9: Barcelona 81, Zalgiris Kaunas 88. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.76, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.07.
Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Lost. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.

Anadolu Efes 2-3

Oct 14: Anadolu Efes 93, Bayern 101. Lost. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.45, Bayern 2.75.
Oct 11: Anadolu Efes 85, Denizli Basket 76. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.11, Denizli Basket 6.03.
Oct 9: Olympiacos 89, Anadolu Efes 66. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.16, Anadolu Efes 5.30.
Oct 4: Bordo Bandirma 79, Anadolu Efes 85. Won. Odds: Bordo Bandirma 3.33, Anadolu Efes 1.30.
Oct 1: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 77, Anadolu Efes 72. Lost. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.62, Anadolu Efes 2.30.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ZAL moneyline	1.38	moved down 1.35
ANA moneyline	2.82	moved up 3.16
Total points	167.5	moved up 169.5
ZAL spread	−5.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroLeague standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Panathinaikos	9	7	2	.778	761	675	+86
2	Olympiacos	9	7	2	.778	790	739	+51
3	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	.667	763	683	+80
4	Real Madrid	9	6	3	.667	866	792	+74
5	Valencia	9	6	3	.667	867	806	+61
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv	9	6	3	.667	831	786	+45
7	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	.667	719	689	+30
8	Barcelona	9	6	3	.667	809	784	+25
9	Dubai	9	6	3	.667	787	766	+21
10	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	5	4	.556	773	756	+17
11	Besiktas	9	4	5	.444	810	826	−16
12	Partizan Mozzart Bet	9	4	5	.444	696	715	−19
13	Virtus Bologna	9	4	5	.444	781	802	−21
14	Anadolu Efes	9	4	5	.444	752	776	−24
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	9	4	5	.444	788	831	−43
16	Paris	9	3	6	.333	795	836	−41
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	9	2	7	.222	780	852	−72
18	Bayern	9	2	7	.222	769	850	−81
19	Olimpia Milano	9	1	8	.111	738	812	−74
20	Baskonia	9	1	8	.111	748	847	−99

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Zalgiris Kaunas host Anadolu Efes in the EuroLeague on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.