Zadar vs Samobor Prediction & Odds

Premijer liga Sunday, September 27, 2026Sun, Sep 27 Start13:00ET Round 1

ZadarHome · 6-0 · 1st · 1.05

8124132618

SamoborAway · 1-5 · 11th · 7.50

5914201510

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Zadar 24 13 26 18

Samobor 14 20 15 10

FT Dvorana Kresimira Cosica · CroatiaDvorana Kresimira Cosica · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.06 89%

Zadar to win edge −5.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.06 Zadar to win Confidence89% model 80.8% · market 86.1% edge −5.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 80.8% 86.1% −5.3% 89% Won

Total points U164.5 1.85 52.1% 48.5% +3.6% 55% Won

Point spread SAM +17.5 1.85 47.7% 50.0% −2.3% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zadar8188

Samobor5976

Total 164 actual 140

Winning margin ZAD by 12 actual ZAD by 22

Chance to win ZAD 80% ZAD won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Zadar8188

Samobor5976

Total 164 Margin ZAD by 12 Win ZAD 80% Actual 140 · ZAD won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Zadar large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Samobor

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Zadar vs Samobor

Zadar Samobor

Last 10 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Zadar 2-3

Jun 10: Zadar 75, Cibona 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 7: Cibona 73, Zadar 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 5: Cibona 70, Zadar 87. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 2: Zadar 92, Cibona 57. Won. No odds on record.
May 31: Zadar 72, Cibona 74. Lost. No odds on record.

Samobor 2-3

Sep 23: Samobor 83, BC Prievidza 103. Lost. Odds: Samobor 1.67, BC Prievidza 2.05.
May 16: Dubrovnik 77, Samobor 69. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Samobor 81, Dubrovnik 86. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Samobor 110, Dinamo Zagreb 91. Won. No odds on record.
May 2: Dubrava 66, Samobor 76. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ZAD moneyline	1.08	moved down 1.05
SAM moneyline	6.70	moved up 7.50
Total points · regulation	164.5	164.5
ZAD spread · regulation	−17.5	moved down −18.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Premijer liga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zadar	6	6	0	12	551	389	+162
2	Cibona	6	6	0	12	544	463	+81
3	Kvarner	6	4	2	10	542	478	+64
4	Split	6	4	2	10	491	453	+38
5	Dinamo Zagreb	6	4	2	10	460	487	−27
6	Skrljevo	6	3	3	9	484	510	−26
7	Virtus Zagreb	6	3	3	9	480	537	−57
8	Zabok	6	2	4	8	475	502	−27
9	Dubrovnik	6	2	4	8	479	530	−51
10	Alkar	6	1	5	7	474	507	−33
11	Samobor	6	1	5	7	461	506	−45
12	Dubrava	6	0	6	6	441	520	−79

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation
Relegation - Prva Liga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Zadar host Samobor in the Premijer liga on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.